---
title: "Fire and Ice case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fire and Ice ($69.20) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 98.92% over 270 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fire and Ice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fire and Ice

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=all)

Price · $69.20 · 106 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $62.28 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.92% · 270 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 100.68% ±14.43 261 openings

30 days · 98.92% ±14.18 270 openings

since tracking started · 98.92% ±14.18 270 openings

34.5% 102.5% 170.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=24h) | 12 | 102.58% ±67.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=7d) | 261 | 100.68% ±14.4 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice) | 270 | 98.92% ±14.2 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-and-ice?window=all) | 270 | 98.92% ±14.2 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 270 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,774 2,729 gems | 2.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $214 329 gems | 16.8% | 14 | 13.2 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $150 231 gems | 12.0% | 17 | 13.5 | 1.26× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $131 201 gems | 31.4% | 37 | 40.5 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $79.87 123 gems | 19.2% | 39 | 40.5 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $74.80 115 gems | 12.0% | 31 | 27.0 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $24.06 37.01 gems | 3.9% | 28 | 27.0 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-firestarter-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $7.21 11.09 gems | 1.2% | 19 | 27.0 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.13 3.28 gems | 0.3% | 21 | 27.0 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.98 1.5 gems | 0.2% | 32 | 27.0 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wood Fired (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.44 0.67 gems | 0.1% | 31 | 27.0 | 1.15× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Kotix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kotix) $69.20 106 gems $1,774 2,729 gems 25.64x 2026-11-08 00:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fire-and-ice)

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $131 201 gems 1.89x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $150 231 gems 2.17x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $0.44 0.67 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $69.20 106 gems $74.80 115 gems 1.08x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $2.13 3.28 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $131 201 gems 1.89x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.20 106 gems $150 231 gems 2.17x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $69.20 | 90.00% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% Immortal 4.9% Ancient 5.0% restricted 15.0% classified 35.0% #4B69FF 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 10.0% Rare 10.0% milspec 10.0% best hit $1,774 (25.64x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt