---
title: "Fire Fighter case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fire Fighter ($177.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 111.15% over 48 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fire Fighter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fire Fighter

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=all)

Price · $177.17 · 273 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $159.45 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.15% · 48 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 42 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

7.0% 107.3% 207.5%

**Small sample.** 48 openings and 9.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=24h) | 6 | 107.18% ±99.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=7d) | 42 | 117.57% ±37.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter) | 48 | 111.15% ±35.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fire-fighter?window=all) | 48 | 111.15% ±35.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $850 1,308 gems | 21.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $602 926 gems | 22.7% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $375 577 gems | 21.2% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.62× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $298 458 gems | 16.8% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 11.0% | $146 224 gems | 10.1% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 11.0% | $65.14 100 gems | 4.5% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 20.0% | $24.08 37.05 gems | 3.0% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) | 30.0% | $2.46 3.78 gems | 0.5% | 13 | 14.4 | 0.90× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $850 1,308 gems 4.80x 2026-11-06 16:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Dartt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dartt) $177 273 gems $850 1,308 gems 4.80x 2026-11-05 06:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $850 1,308 gems 4.80x 2026-11-05 05:59 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-factory-new) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $177 273 gems $602 926 gems 3.40x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $602 926 gems 3.40x 2026-11-08 23:51 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $602 926 gems 3.40x 2026-11-06 16:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fire-fighter)

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $375 577 gems 2.12x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $2.46 3.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $375 577 gems 2.12x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $24.08 37.05 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $298 458 gems 1.68x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) [rami](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rami) $177 273 gems $65.14 100 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $146 224 gems 0.82x 2026-11-10 04:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) [Dartt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dartt) $177 273 gems $24.08 37.05 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 04:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $24.08 37.05 gems 0.14x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $177 273 gems $65.14 100 gems 0.37x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $177 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.0% covert knife 15.0% rare 9.0% Classified 11.0% Legendary 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 30.0% best hit $850 (4.80x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt