--- title: "Flex Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Flex Case ($815.54) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 52.85% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Flex Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Flex Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=all) Price · $815.54 · 1,255 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $733.98 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.85% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 100.0% 200.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=7d) | 6 | 65.55% ±134.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case) | 24 | 52.85% ±67.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flex-case?window=all) | 24 | 52.85% ±67.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $7,761 11,939 gems | 21.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $7,003 10,774 gems | 19.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $858 1,319 gems | 7.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $691 1,063 gems | 9.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 14.0% | $570 877 gems | 10.9% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 22.0% | $443 681 gems | 13.3% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 22.0% | $437 673 gems | 13.1% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 22.0% | $204 313 gems | 6.1% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $858 1,319 gems 1.05x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $691 1,063 gems 0.85x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $691 1,063 gems 0.85x 2026-11-03 16:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $816 1,255 gems $570 877 gems 0.70x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $570 877 gems 0.70x 2026-11-04 00:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [Gentle Anteater](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gentle%20Anteater) $816 1,255 gems $570 877 gems 0.70x 2026-11-03 16:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $570 877 gems 0.70x 2026-11-03 16:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=flex-case) [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $443 681 gems 0.54x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $443 681 gems 0.54x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $204 313 gems 0.25x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $858 1,319 gems 1.05x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $816 1,255 gems $691 1,063 gems 0.85x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $816 1,255 gems $570 877 gems 0.70x 2026-11-09 11:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $816 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 2.0% sunny 54.0% #ffd700 22.0% covert 22.0% best hit $858 (1.05x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt