--- title: "Flip Knife Flip case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Flip Knife Flip ($66.02) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 83.74% over 572 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip rendered: 2026-11-11T19:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Flip Knife Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Flip Knife Flip A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=all) Price · $66.02 · 102 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $59.41 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.74% · 572 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 85.62% ±9.69 503 openings 30 days · 83.74% ±9.08 572 openings since tracking started · 83.74% ±9.08 572 openings 43.0% 106.3% 169.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=24h) | 12 | 106.19% ±62.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=7d) | 503 | 85.62% ±9.69 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip) | 572 | 83.74% ±9.08 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-knife-flip?window=all) | 572 | 83.74% ±9.08 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 572 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $254 391 gems | 12.8% | 14 | 17.2 | 0.82× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $227 349 gems | 26.8% | 33 | 40.0 | 0.82× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 12.0% | $117 180 gems | 23.6% | 65 | 68.6 | 0.95× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 13.0% | $79.69 123 gems | 17.4% | 80 | 74.4 | 1.08× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) | 15.0% | $76.26 117 gems | 19.3% | 86 | 85.8 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.1% | 294 | 286.0 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=flip-knife-flip) [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $117 180 gems 1.77x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $227 349 gems 3.44x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $76.26 117 gems 1.16x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $66.02 102 gems $227 349 gems 3.44x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $66.02 | 89.99% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 22.0% #ffd700 13.0% covert 15.0% Rare 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt