--- title: "Flip or Flop case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Flip or Flop ($38.75) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.11% over 522 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop rendered: 2026-11-11T18:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Flip or Flop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Flip or Flop A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=all) Price · $38.75 · 59.62 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $34.87 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.11% · 522 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 86.02% ±7.90 501 openings 30 days · 85.11% ±7.74 522 openings since tracking started · 85.11% ±7.74 522 openings 76.5% 85.5% 94.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=7d) | 501 | 86.02% ±7.90 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop) | 522 | 85.11% ±7.74 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flip-or-flop?window=all) | 522 | 85.11% ±7.74 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 522 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Double or Nothing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/double-or-nothing) | 10.0% | $74.56 115 gems | 21.4% | 49 | 52.2 | 0.94× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-field-tested) | 10.0% | $73.69 113 gems | 21.1% | 47 | 52.2 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 10.0% | $71.50 110 gems | 20.5% | 45 | 52.2 | 0.86× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 10.0% | $67.83 104 gems | 19.5% | 51 | 52.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $60.63 93.28 gems | 17.4% | 56 | 52.2 | 1.07× | | [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 0.1% | 53 | 52.2 | 1.02× | | [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.0% | 45 | 52.2 | 0.86× | | [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.07 0.1 gems | 0.0% | 55 | 52.2 | 1.05× | | [P90 \| Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.0% | 70 | 52.2 | 1.34× | | [MP7 \| Motherboard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.05 0.08 gems | 0.0% | 51 | 52.2 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=flip-or-flop) [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $67.83 104 gems 1.75x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $71.50 110 gems 1.85x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [Galil AR | Acid Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-well-worn) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [Double or Nothing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/double-or-nothing) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $38.75 59.62 gems $74.56 115 gems 1.92x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [P250 | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC [P250 | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) Hidden $38.75 59.62 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $38.75 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 10.0% sunny 10.0% covert 10.0% extraordinary 10.0% Covert 10.0% violet 10.0% #5e98d9 10.0% blue 10.0% milspec 10.0% #87c7ff 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt