--- title: "Forbidden Riches case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Forbidden Riches ($78.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 11 items with odds, observed 84.85% over 279 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Forbidden Riches](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Forbidden Riches A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=all) Price · $78.50 · 121 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $70.65 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.85% · 279 openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 68.69% ±39.24 201 openings 30 days · 84.85% ±33.31 279 openings since tracking started · 84.85% ±33.31 279 openings 23.5% 91.8% 160.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=24h) | 68 | 91.69% ±67.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=7d) | 201 | 68.69% ±39.2 | −1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches) | 279 | 84.85% ±33.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/forbidden-riches?window=all) | 279 | 84.85% ±33.3 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 279 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,751 7,309 gems | 6.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,742 4,219 gems | 3.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,244 3,453 gems | 4.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,331 2,048 gems | 2.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $968 1,489 gems | 6.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $567 873 gems | 8.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $392 603 gems | 11.1% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 50 | $293 450 gems | 8.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $172 264 gems | 4.9% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $92.30 142 gems | 2.6% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× | | [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) | 90.0% | $31.45 48.39 gems | 40.1% | 251 | 251.1 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $2,742 4,219 gems 34.93x 2026-11-03 09:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $968 1,489 gems 12.33x 2026-11-03 09:42 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $567 873 gems 7.23x 2026-11-11 18:36 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $567 873 gems 7.23x 2026-11-11 05:48 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [ST](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ST) $78.50 121 gems $567 873 gems 7.23x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=forbidden-riches) [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $293 450 gems 3.73x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [Krakow 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-mirage-souvenir-package) Hidden $78.50 121 gems $31.45 48.39 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $78.50 | 89.99% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 6 90.0% covert 5.5% legendary 0.5% extraordinary 2.0% restricted 2.0% best hit $2,742 (34.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt