---
title: "Fort Knox case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fort Knox ($5,109.19) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fort Knox](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fort Knox

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=all)

Price · $5,109.19 · 7,860 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4,598.23 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fort-knox?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice (2014) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $15.7K 24,100 gems | 34.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 30.0% | $8,936 13,748 gems | 58.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $4,188 6,443 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2,313 3,559 gems | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $182 280 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 10.0% | $74.69 115 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.49 3.83 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fort-knox)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5,109 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 10.0% covert 55.0% contraband 5.0% restricted 10.0% milspec 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt