--- title: "FUEGO case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "FUEGO ($114.47) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.95% over 274 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego rendered: 2026-11-11T15:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [FUEGO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · FUEGO A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=all) Price · $114.47 · 176 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $103.02 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.95% · 274 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 94.80% ±30.40 227 openings 30 days · 92.95% ±27.67 274 openings since tracking started · 92.95% ±27.67 274 openings -0.5% 62.8% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=24h) | 24 | 22.12% ±93.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=7d) | 227 | 94.80% ±30.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego) | 274 | 92.95% ±27.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuego?window=all) | 274 | 92.95% ±27.7 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 280 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,475 2,269 gems | 42.9% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.60× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $543 835 gems | 15.8% | 16 | 8.4 | 1.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $342 526 gems | 10.0% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.55× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $298 459 gems | 8.7% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $180 277 gems | 5.2% | 4 | 8.4 | 0.48× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 10.0% | $75.67 116 gems | 7.3% | 22 | 28.0 | 0.79× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $51.98 79.97 gems | 5.0% | 35 | 28.0 | 1.25× | | [MP7 \| Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-well-worn) | 10.0% | $28.29 43.52 gems | 2.7% | 27 | 28.0 | 0.96× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $14.94 22.99 gems | 1.5% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 10.0% | $4.20 6.46 gems | 0.4% | 22 | 28.0 | 0.79× | | [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) | 15.0% | $2.07 3.18 gems | 0.3% | 35 | 42.0 | 0.83× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.39 0.6 gems | 0.1% | 62 | 56.0 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $114 176 gems $1,475 2,269 gems 12.88x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $114 176 gems $1,475 2,269 gems 12.88x 2026-11-09 14:16 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) [jurassicpeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/jurassicpeek) $114 176 gems $1,475 2,269 gems 12.88x 2026-11-09 00:26 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $114 176 gems $1,475 2,269 gems 12.88x 2026-11-08 19:32 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $114 176 gems $1,475 2,269 gems 12.88x 2026-11-05 00:15 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $543 835 gems 4.74x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $543 835 gems 4.74x 2026-11-09 14:16 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $543 835 gems 4.74x 2026-11-09 14:16 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $543 835 gems 4.74x 2026-11-09 03:11 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $543 835 gems 4.74x 2026-11-08 21:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fuego) [CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [Dual Berettas | Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) Hidden $114 176 gems $4.20 6.46 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) Hidden $114 176 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $14.94 22.99 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $114 176 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $14.94 22.99 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $114 176 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $114 176 gems $75.67 116 gems 0.66x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $114 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 28.0% extraordinary 6.0% rare 3.0% classified 13.0% milspec 20.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $1,475 (12.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt