--- title: "Fuzzy case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fuzzy ($107.98) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.37% over 295 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Fuzzy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Fuzzy A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=all) Price · $107.98 · 166 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $97.18 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.37% · 295 openings, odds method Variance · 11.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 97.35% ±42.62 237 openings 30 days · 88.37% ±38.20 295 openings since tracking started · 88.37% ±38.20 295 openings 49.5% 136.5% 223.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=24h) | 60 | 138.29% ±84.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=7d) | 237 | 97.35% ±42.6 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy) | 295 | 88.37% ±38.2 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fuzzy?window=all) | 295 | 88.37% ±38.2 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 307 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,340 6,678 gems | 11.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $2,143 3,297 gems | 16.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,578 2,427 gems | 16.2% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,537 2,365 gems | 15.8% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $430 662 gems | 13.3% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $315 485 gems | 9.7% | 6 | 9.2 | 0.65× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $190 292 gems | 5.9% | 4 | 9.2 | 0.43× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $82.65 127 gems | 4.3% | 9 | 15.4 | 0.59× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-well-worn) | 15.0% | $15.10 23.23 gems | 2.3% | 55 | 46.0 | 1.19× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $14.86 22.86 gems | 2.3% | 45 | 46.0 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $8.73 13.43 gems | 1.8% | 74 | 61.4 | 1.21× | | [Sticker \| Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) | 33.0% | $2.08 3.2 gems | 0.7% | 96 | 101.3 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $4,340 6,678 gems 40.20x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $2,143 3,297 gems 19.85x 2026-11-09 19:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $2,143 3,297 gems 19.85x 2026-11-05 02:09 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,578 2,427 gems 14.61x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,578 2,427 gems 14.61x 2026-11-05 20:29 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,578 2,427 gems 14.61x 2026-11-03 16:08 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,537 2,365 gems 14.24x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,537 2,365 gems 14.24x 2026-11-06 08:45 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,537 2,365 gems 14.24x 2026-11-05 20:29 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,537 2,365 gems 14.24x 2026-11-05 02:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=fuzzy) [★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $82.65 127 gems 0.77x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.08 3.2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-well-worn) Hidden $108 166 gems $15.10 23.23 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $14.86 22.86 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.08 3.2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $108 166 gems $2.08 3.2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.08 3.2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $82.65 127 gems 0.77x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy-holo) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.08 3.2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,578 2,427 gems 14.61x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $108 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 4.0% extraordinary 8.0% rare 5.0% uncommon 15.0% Classified 15.0% covert 20.0% #8847ff 33.0% best hit $4,340 (40.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt