--- title: "Gallery Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gallery Case ($3.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 30 items with odds, observed 78.93% over 9,753 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gallery Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gallery Case A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=all) Price · $3.11 · 4.78 gems Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $2.79 from 30 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.93% · 9,753 openings, odds method Variance · 55.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 51 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 71.89% ±33.23 1,940 openings 7 days · 79.51% ±16.27 8,089 openings 30 days · 78.93% ±14.82 9,753 openings since tracking started · 78.93% ±14.82 9,753 openings 38.0% 72.0% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=24h) | 1,940 | 71.89% ±33.2 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=7d) | 8,089 | 79.51% ±16.3 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case) | 9,753 | 78.93% ±14.8 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gallery-case?window=all) | 9,753 | 78.93% ±14.8 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,789 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,190 1,831 gems | 8.5% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $491 756 gems | 3.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.55× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $455 701 gems | 3.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $408 627 gems | 2.9% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $274 421 gems | 2.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $251 386 gems | 1.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $246 378 gems | 1.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Kukri Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife) | 1 in 5,000 | $230 354 gems | 1.6% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.04× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $182 280 gems | 1.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $175 269 gems | 1.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $170 262 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $159 245 gems | 1.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $144 222 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $105 162 gems | 12.1% | 21 | 31.3 | 0.67× | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $41.09 63.22 gems | 4.7% | 31 | 31.3 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $40.06 61.63 gems | 15.3% | 88 | 104.4 | 0.84× | | [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $10.86 16.71 gems | 4.1% | 90 | 104.4 | 0.86× | | [P250 \| Epicenter (Factory New) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $9.53 14.66 gems | 3.6% | 113 | 104.4 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| Turbine (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.93 7.58 gems | 5.6% | 307 | 312.9 | 0.98× | | [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $2.42 3.72 gems | 2.8% | 319 | 312.9 | 1.02× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $2.32 3.57 gems | 2.7% | 322 | 312.9 | 1.03× | | [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.96 3.01 gems | 2.2% | 302 | 312.9 | 0.97× | | [P90 \| Randy Rush (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-randy-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.55 2.38 gems | 1.8% | 309 | 312.9 | 0.99× | | [USP-S \| 027 (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-027-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.86 1.32 gems | 3.5% | 1,102 | 1117.6 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.78 1.2 gems | 3.2% | 1,110 | 1117.6 | 0.99× | | [AUG \| Luxe Trim (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-luxe-trim-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.50 0.77 gems | 2.0% | 1,101 | 1117.6 | 0.99× | | [R8 Revolver \| Tango (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-tango-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.48 0.74 gems | 2.0% | 1,155 | 1117.6 | 1.03× | | [M249 \| Hypnosis (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-hypnosis-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.31 0.47 gems | 1.2% | 1,126 | 1117.6 | 1.01× | | [SCAR-20 \| Trail Blazer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.27 0.41 gems | 1.1% | 1,132 | 1117.6 | 1.01× | | [MP5-SD \| Statics (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-statics-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.7% | 1,138 | 1117.9 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $491 756 gems 158.1x 2026-11-10 22:46 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $491 756 gems 158.1x 2026-11-10 05:29 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $491 756 gems 158.1x 2026-11-10 04:49 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $491 756 gems 158.1x 2026-11-04 19:09 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $491 756 gems 158.1x 2026-11-04 14:29 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $455 701 gems 146.6x 2026-11-06 15:33 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $408 627 gems 131.3x 2026-11-10 15:42 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $408 627 gems 131.3x 2026-11-10 12:14 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $408 627 gems 131.3x 2026-11-05 08:48 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $274 421 gems 88.06x 2026-11-10 09:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gallery-case) [M249 | Hypnosis (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-hypnosis-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.31 0.47 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [R8 Revolver | Tango (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-tango-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.48 0.74 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [M249 | Hypnosis (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-hypnosis-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.31 0.47 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [MP5-SD | Statics (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-statics-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [M249 | Hypnosis (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-hypnosis-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.31 0.47 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $4.93 7.58 gems 1.59x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [MP5-SD | Statics (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-statics-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.27 0.41 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [M249 | Hypnosis (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-hypnosis-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.11 4.78 gems $0.31 0.47 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [AUG | Luxe Trim (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-luxe-trim-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.50 0.77 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.11 | 89.93% | 30 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.1% epic 0.3% Covert 0.0% rare 1.4% uncommon 1.1% #d32ce6 1.1% #8847ff 3.2% violet 9.6% restricted 3.2% other 11.4% blue 22.8% milspec 34.3% #4b69ff 11.4% best hit $491 (158.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt