---
title: "Gamma 2 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gamma 2 Case ($2.28) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.75% from 47 items with odds, observed 101.94% over 13.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gamma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gamma 2 Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=all)

Price · $2.28 · 3.5 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.75% · EV $2.04 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.94% · 13.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 199.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 735 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 640 openings · below min

7 days · 88.60% ±25.83 11.5K openings

30 days · 101.94% ±23.74 13.6K openings

since tracking started · 101.94% ±23.74 13.6K openings

25.5% 135.5% 245.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=24h) | 640 | 135.33% ±109.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=7d) | 11.5K | 88.60% ±25.8 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case) | 13.6K | 101.94% ±23.7 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-2-case?window=all) | 13.6K | 101.94% ±23.7 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,592 2,449 gems | 6.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,361 2,095 gems | 5.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,191 1,832 gems | 4.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,173 1,805 gems | 4.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,159 1,784 gems | 4.5% | 4 | 1.1 | 3.66× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,105 1,701 gems | 4.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $748 1,150 gems | 2.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $619 953 gems | 2.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $520 800 gems | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $478 735 gems | 1.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $477 734 gems | 1.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $472 726 gems | 1.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $467 718 gems | 1.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $410 631 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $406 624 gems | 1.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $399 615 gems | 1.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $298 459 gems | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $283 436 gems | 1.1% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.75× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $244 375 gems | 1.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $203 313 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $200 307 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $173 267 gems | 0.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $154 237 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $148 228 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $138 212 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $136 210 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $132 203 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $81.91 126 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $70.87 109 gems | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $64.78 99.66 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $51.56 79.33 gems | 8.1% | 50 | 43.7 | 1.14× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $7.99 12.29 gems | 4.2% | 159 | 145.5 | 1.09× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $7.15 11 gems | 1.1% | 47 | 43.7 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.85 9 gems | 9.2% | 419 | 436.3 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $5.65 8.7 gems | 3.0% | 152 | 145.5 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.46 6.86 gems | 2.3% | 151 | 145.5 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.18 1.81 gems | 1.8% | 468 | 436.3 | 1.07× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.00 1.54 gems | 1.6% | 435 | 436.3 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.81 1.25 gems | 1.3% | 419 | 436.3 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.81 1.24 gems | 1.3% | 396 | 436.3 | 0.91× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) | 11.4% | $0.33 0.5 gems | 1.8% | 1,580 | 1558.8 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.24 0.37 gems | 1.3% | 1,605 | 1558.8 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 1.2% | 1,653 | 1558.8 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.20 0.3 gems | 1.1% | 1,530 | 1558.8 | 0.98× |
| [UMP-45 \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.16 0.25 gems | 0.9% | 1,521 | 1558.8 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 0.8% | 1,522 | 1558.8 | 0.98× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.6% | 1,510 | 1561.9 | 0.97× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,361 2,095 gems 598.4x 2026-11-07 13:42 UTC

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,361 2,095 gems 598.4x 2026-11-04 00:05 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,173 1,805 gems 515.7x 2026-11-05 19:09 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,159 1,784 gems 509.6x 2026-11-06 22:04 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Desk](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Desk) $2.28 3.5 gems $1,159 1,784 gems 509.6x 2026-11-04 22:06 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,159 1,784 gems 509.6x 2026-11-03 23:44 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,159 1,784 gems 509.6x 2026-11-03 16:17 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1,105 1,701 gems 485.9x 2026-11-10 22:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [Freix1312](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Freix1312) $2.28 3.5 gems $1,105 1,701 gems 485.9x 2026-11-07 13:06 UTC

[★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $748 1,150 gems 328.6x 2026-11-04 01:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gamma-2-case)

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) [VYCK4](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VYCK4) $2.28 3.5 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1.18 1.81 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1.00 1.54 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.28 | 89.75% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% #ffd700 0.0% gold 0.0% epic 0.0% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% classified 2.1% restricted 9.6% pink 1.1% violet 6.4% mil spec 11.4% Mil Spec 11.4% #4b69ff 22.8% Rare 34.3% best hit $1,361 (598.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.75 on average: an expected loss of $10.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt