---
title: "Gamma Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gamma Case ($2.22) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 47 items with odds, observed 68.62% over 9,197 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gamma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gamma Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=all)

Price · $2.22 · 3.42 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $2.00 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 68.62% · 9,197 openings, odds method

Variance · 209.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 781 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1,042 openings · below min

7 days · 61.94% ±32.98 7,399 openings

30 days · 68.62% ±29.59 9,197 openings

since tracking started · 68.62% ±29.59 9,197 openings

24.5% 113.0% 201.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=24h) | 1,042 | 113.02% ±87.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=7d) | 7,399 | 61.94% ±33.0 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) | 9,197 | 68.62% ±29.6 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case?window=all) | 9,197 | 68.62% ±29.6 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,300 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,592 2,449 gems | 6.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,361 2,095 gems | 5.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,191 1,832 gems | 4.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,173 1,805 gems | 4.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,159 1,784 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,105 1,701 gems | 4.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $748 1,150 gems | 3.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $619 953 gems | 2.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $520 800 gems | 2.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $478 735 gems | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $477 734 gems | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $472 726 gems | 1.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $467 718 gems | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $410 631 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $406 624 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $399 615 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $298 459 gems | 1.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $283 436 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $244 375 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $203 313 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $200 307 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $173 267 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $154 237 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $148 228 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $138 212 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $136 210 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $132 203 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $81.91 126 gems | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $70.87 109 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $64.78 99.66 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $63.61 97.86 gems | 10.2% | 32 | 29.8 | 1.08× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $11.49 17.68 gems | 6.1% | 91 | 99.1 | 0.92× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $5.12 7.88 gems | 2.7% | 83 | 99.1 | 0.84× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.81 7.4 gems | 2.6% | 104 | 99.1 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $2.85 4.38 gems | 0.5% | 32 | 29.8 | 1.08× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.75 2.69 gems | 2.8% | 295 | 297.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.11 1.71 gems | 1.8% | 292 | 297.2 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.03 1.58 gems | 1.6% | 300 | 297.2 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.03 1.58 gems | 1.6% | 311 | 297.2 | 1.05× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.95 1.46 gems | 1.5% | 293 | 297.2 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.35 0.54 gems | 2.0% | 1,060 | 1061.8 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.29 0.44 gems | 1.6% | 1,059 | 1061.8 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.26 0.4 gems | 1.5% | 1,096 | 1061.8 | 1.03× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.23 0.36 gems | 1.3% | 1,063 | 1061.8 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.20 0.3 gems | 1.1% | 1,068 | 1061.8 | 1.01× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.7% | 1,061 | 1061.8 | 1.00× |
| [Nova \| Exo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.7% | 1,044 | 1063.9 | 0.98× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $1,361 2,095 gems 612.4x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $1,173 1,805 gems 527.8x 2026-11-07 13:07 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $1,173 1,805 gems 527.8x 2026-11-04 00:00 UTC

[★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $748 1,150 gems 336.3x 2026-11-04 02:36 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $472 726 gems 212.4x 2026-11-08 15:41 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $298 459 gems 134.2x 2026-11-03 10:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $244 375 gems 109.6x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $173 267 gems 77.96x 2026-11-10 21:42 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Yoda!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Yoda!) $2.22 3.42 gems $154 237 gems 69.26x 2026-11-05 19:08 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $148 228 gems 66.56x 2026-11-10 14:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gamma-case)

[PP-Bizon | Harvester (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Harvester (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[Nova | Exo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-factory-new) [Anonymous763873](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anonymous763873) $2.22 3.42 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $4.81 7.4 gems 2.16x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.22 | 89.99% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% #ffd700 0.0% gold 0.0% epic 0.0% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 9.6% Mythical 3.2% #8847ff 3.2% blue 11.4% mil spec 22.9% milspec 22.8% Mil Spec Grade 11.4% #4b69ff 11.4% best hit $1,361 (612.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt