--- title: "Gemstones case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gemstones ($108.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 106.22% over 2,536 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones rendered: 2026-11-11T17:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gemstones](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gemstones A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=all) Price · $108.04 · 166 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $97.24 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.22% · 2,536 openings, odds method Variance · 82.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 152 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 154 openings · below min 7 days · 112.30% ±36.43 2,397 openings 30 days · 106.22% ±35.41 2,536 openings since tracking started · 106.22% ±35.41 2,536 openings -0.5% 110.5% 221.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=24h) | 154 | 77.03% ±143.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=7d) | 2,397 | 112.30% ±36.4 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones) | 2,536 | 106.22% ±35.4 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gemstones?window=all) | 2,536 | 106.22% ±35.4 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,635 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 303 | $12.6K 19,400 gems | 42.8% | 14 | 8.7 | 1.61× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 303 | $9,445 14,530 gems | 32.1% | 6 | 8.7 | 0.69× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 294 | $6,793 10,450 gems | 23.8% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.58 5.5 gems | 0.4% | 262 | 263.5 | 0.99× | | [SSG 08 \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.35 3.61 gems | 0.2% | 284 | 263.5 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-factory-new) | 11.5% | $1.69 2.6 gems | 0.2% | 301 | 303.0 | 0.99× | | [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $1.51 2.33 gems | 0.2% | 332 | 329.4 | 1.01× | | [P90 \| Shallow Gravew (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-gravew-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.16 1.78 gems | 0.2% | 406 | 395.3 | 1.03× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.01 1.55 gems | 0.2% | 370 | 395.3 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 0.1% | 652 | 658.8 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-11 00:06 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 14:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 14:35 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 13:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 13:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 01:42 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 00:49 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-10 00:45 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-09 12:26 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $108 166 gems $12.6K 19,400 gems 116.7x 2026-11-09 02:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gemstones) [SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.35 3.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [P90 | Shallow Gravew (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-gravew-field-tested) Hidden $108 166 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.35 3.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1.01 1.55 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $108 166 gems $3.58 5.5 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $2.35 3.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:49 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 166 gems $3.58 5.5 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:49 UTC [P90 | Shallow Gravew (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-gravew-field-tested) Hidden $108 166 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:49 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1.01 1.55 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $108 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 25.0% covert 1.0% restricted 10.0% Uncommon 10.0% violet 11.5% blue 12.5% other 15.0% Mythical 15.0% best hit $12.6K (116.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt