--- title: "Ghost Protocol case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ghost Protocol ($16.32) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.09% over 3,721 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol rendered: 2026-11-11T14:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Ghost Protocol](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Ghost Protocol A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=all) Price · $16.32 · 25.1 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $14.68 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.09% · 3,721 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.26% ±20.26 432 openings 7 days · 89.61% ±7.54 3,116 openings 30 days · 92.09% ±6.90 3,721 openings since tracking started · 92.09% ±6.90 3,721 openings 67.5% 88.3% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=24h) | 432 | 88.26% ±20.3 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=7d) | 3,116 | 89.61% ±7.54 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol) | 3,721 | 92.09% ±6.90 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ghost-protocol?window=all) | 3,721 | 92.09% ±6.90 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,748 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $233 359 gems | 31.8% | 78 | 75.0 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $89.70 138 gems | 12.2% | 80 | 75.0 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $51.93 79.89 gems | 7.1% | 67 | 75.0 | 0.89× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $38.56 59.33 gems | 5.3% | 91 | 75.0 | 1.21× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $27.31 42.02 gems | 3.7% | 65 | 75.0 | 0.87× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 20.0% | $20.73 31.89 gems | 28.2% | 767 | 749.6 | 1.02× | | [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $6.96 10.7 gems | 9.5% | 697 | 749.6 | 0.93× | | [Pet Chicken \| Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) | 50.0% | $0.65 1 gems | 2.2% | 1,903 | 1874.0 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ghost-protocol) [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $6.96 10.7 gems 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $16.32 25.1 gems $6.96 10.7 gems 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $233 359 gems 14.30x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $20.73 31.89 gems 1.27x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [Pet Chicken | Silkie (White) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-chicken-silkie-white) Hidden $16.32 25.1 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.32 | 89.97% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% Ancient 2.0% red 2.0% mil spec 2.0% classified 20.0% uncommon 20.0% other 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt