--- title: "Gift Wrapped case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gift Wrapped ($48.85) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 90.31% over 2,003 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gift Wrapped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gift Wrapped A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=all) Price · $48.85 · 75.15 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $43.96 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.31% · 2,003 openings, odds method Variance · 39.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 157 openings · below min 7 days · 104.20% ±31.70 1,495 openings 30 days · 90.31% ±27.39 2,003 openings since tracking started · 90.31% ±27.39 2,003 openings 5.5% 104.0% 202.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=24h) | 157 | 103.90% ±97.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=7d) | 1,495 | 104.20% ±31.7 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped) | 2,003 | 90.31% ±27.4 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gift-wrapped?window=all) | 2,003 | 90.31% ±27.4 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,090 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $4,066 6,255 gems | 46.2% | 12 | 10.5 | 1.15× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · Souvenir](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $1,105 1,701 gems | 12.6% | 6 | 10.5 | 0.57× | | [Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $845 1,300 gems | 9.6% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× | | [DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2013-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $548 842 gems | 6.2% | 9 | 10.5 | 0.86× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Overpass Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-overpass-souvenir-package) | 1 in 100 | $300 461 gems | 6.8% | 16 | 20.9 | 0.77× | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-overpass-souvenir-package) | 1 in 100 | $158 242 gems | 3.6% | 22 | 20.9 | 1.05× | | [MLG Columbus 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/mlg-columbus-2016-nuke-souvenir-package) | 1 in 100 | $98.25 151 gems | 2.2% | 15 | 20.9 | 0.72× | | [Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-nuke-souvenir-package) | 1 in 50 | $66.95 103 gems | 3.0% | 40 | 41.8 | 0.96× | | [Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-nuke-souvenir-package) | 1 in 33 | $40.44 62.22 gems | 2.8% | 66 | 62.7 | 1.05× | | [Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-dust-ii-souvenir-package) | 10.0% | $14.57 22.41 gems | 3.3% | 208 | 209.0 | 1.00× | | [Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/berlin-2019-train-souvenir-package) | 10.0% | $7.71 11.86 gems | 1.8% | 209 | 209.0 | 1.00× | | [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) | 70.0% | $1.14 1.76 gems | 1.8% | 1,476 | 1463.0 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) [Whitend](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Whitend) $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-11 02:55 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-10 00:44 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-07 21:34 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-07 13:27 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-06 00:25 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-05 22:26 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) [kick.com/alynnushgambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kick.com%2Falynnushgambles) $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-05 16:52 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-05 13:32 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $4,066 6,255 gems 83.24x 2026-11-05 10:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gift-wrapped) [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [ESL One Cologne 2014 Overpass Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $300 461 gems 6.14x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $14.57 22.41 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Overpass Souvenir Package container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-overpass-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $1.14 1.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC [Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-dust-ii-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.85 75.15 gems $14.57 22.41 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $48.85 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 6 10.0% base 12.0% Souvenir 0.5% Base Grade 2.5% other 75.0% best hit $4,066 (83.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt