--- title: "Glock versus USP case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Glock versus USP ($55.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 72.80% over 122 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Glock versus USP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Glock versus USP A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=all) Price · $55.04 · 84.67 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $49.53 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.80% · 122 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 92 openings · below min 30 days · 72.80% ±38.61 122 openings since tracking started · 72.80% ±38.61 122 openings -0.5% 85.8% 172.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=24h) | 22 | 80.63% ±90.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=7d) | 92 | 68.41% ±44.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp) | 122 | 72.80% ±38.6 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/glock-versus-usp?window=all) | 122 | 72.80% ±38.6 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 122 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $547 841 gems | 55.2% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 10.0% | $125 192 gems | 25.2% | 11 | 12.2 | 0.90× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 10.0% | $40.69 62.6 gems | 8.2% | 16 | 12.2 | 1.31× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 10.0% | $28.85 44.38 gems | 5.8% | 9 | 12.2 | 0.74× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 10.0% | $14.63 22.51 gems | 3.0% | 17 | 12.2 | 1.39× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.66 11.79 gems | 1.5% | 14 | 12.2 | 1.15× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.14 4.83 gems | 0.6% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× | | [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.26 1.94 gems | 0.3% | 17 | 12.2 | 1.39× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.45 0.7 gems | 0.1% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× | | [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 0.1% | 14 | 18.3 | 0.77× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $547 841 gems 9.94x 2026-11-11 05:36 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $547 841 gems 9.94x 2026-11-10 18:54 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $547 841 gems 9.94x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $547 841 gems 9.94x 2026-11-04 08:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=glock-versus-usp) [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $1.26 1.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $125 192 gems 2.27x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $55.04 84.67 gems $28.85 44.38 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $28.85 44.38 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $1.26 1.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $14.63 22.51 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.04 84.67 gems $3.14 4.83 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) [duccster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/duccster) $55.04 84.67 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $55.04 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 5.0% rare 10.0% covert 20.0% restricted 20.0% Legendary 10.0% Mythical 10.0% industrial 10.0% Uncommon 15.0% best hit $547 (9.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt