--- title: "Gold & Cologne case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gold & Cologne ($68.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 13 items with odds, observed 82.37% over 369 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne rendered: 2026-11-12T07:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gold & Cologne](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gold & Cologne A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=all) Price · $68.03 · 105 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $61.22 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.37% · 369 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 82.68% ±11.43 343 openings 30 days · 82.37% ±11.02 369 openings since tracking started · 82.37% ±11.02 369 openings 56.0% 102.8% 149.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=24h) | 21 | 102.68% ±46.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=7d) | 343 | 82.68% ±11.4 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne) | 369 | 82.37% ±11.0 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-and-cologne?window=all) | 369 | 82.37% ±11.0 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 369 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Falcons (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 40 | $377 580 gems | 15.4% | 6 | 9.2 | 0.65× | | [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 40 | $260 400 gems | 10.6% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| FlyQuest (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flyquest-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 40 | $192 296 gems | 7.9% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 40 | $166 255 gems | 6.8% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× | | [Sticker \| NiKo (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 20 | $116 179 gems | 9.5% | 11 | 18.4 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| Lynn Vision (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 20 | $96.85 149 gems | 7.9% | 22 | 18.4 | 1.19× | | [Sticker \| Gaimin Gladiators (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gaimin-gladiators-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 20 | $77.35 119 gems | 6.3% | 11 | 18.4 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| paiN Gaming (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pain-gaming-gold-cologne-2026) | 1 in 20 | $59.77 91.96 gems | 4.9% | 21 | 18.4 | 1.14× | | [Sticker \| MOUZ (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-gold-cologne-2026) | 10.0% | $46.84 72.06 gems | 7.7% | 31 | 36.9 | 0.84× | | [Sticker \| NRG (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nrg-gold-cologne-2026) | 15.0% | $43.88 67.51 gems | 10.8% | 59 | 55.4 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| ZywOo (Gold) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-gold-cologne-2026) | 15.0% | $26.18 40.27 gems | 6.4% | 55 | 55.4 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| BIG (Gold, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-ranked-cologne-2026) | 15.0% | $17.26 26.55 gems | 4.2% | 64 | 55.4 | 1.16× | | [Sticker \| m0NESY (Gold, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-gold-ranked-cologne-2026) | 15.0% | $6.97 10.73 gems | 1.7% | 60 | 55.4 | 1.08× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gold-and-cologne) [Sticker | NRG (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nrg-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $43.88 67.51 gems 0.65x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-ranked-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $17.26 26.55 gems 0.25x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | NRG (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nrg-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $43.88 67.51 gems 0.65x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | MOUZ (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $46.84 72.06 gems 0.69x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | ZywOo (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $26.18 40.27 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | Lynn Vision (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-gold-cologne-2026) [rubbytuesday](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rubbytuesday) $68.03 105 gems $96.85 149 gems 1.42x 2026-11-12 06:46 UTC [Sticker | THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $166 255 gems 2.44x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC [Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-ranked-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $17.26 26.55 gems 0.25x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC [Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-ranked-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $17.26 26.55 gems 0.25x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC [Sticker | ZywOo (Gold) | Cologne 2026 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-gold-cologne-2026) Hidden $68.03 105 gems $26.18 40.27 gems 0.38x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $68.03 | 89.99% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 80.0% Ancient 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt