--- title: "Gold Rush case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gold Rush ($590.62) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 85.61% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gold Rush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gold Rush A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=all) Price · $590.62 · 909 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $531.56 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.61% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 53.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 30.0% 85.8% 141.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=7d) | 12 | 85.61% ±55.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush) | 12 | 85.61% ±55.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gold-rush?window=all) | 12 | 85.61% ±55.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 19.0% | $1,483 2,282 gems | 53.0% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 19.0% | $904 1,391 gems | 32.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $649 999 gems | 11.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.78× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $94.29 145 gems | 1.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.85× | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $63.25 97.3 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 35.0% | $15.42 23.73 gems | 1.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $591 909 gems $1,483 2,282 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $591 909 gems $1,483 2,282 gems 2.51x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) [❤DoOmED❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%9D%A4DoOmED%E2%9D%A4) $591 909 gems $904 1,391 gems 1.53x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gold-rush) [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $15.42 23.73 gems 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $15.42 23.73 gems 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $94.29 145 gems 0.16x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $591 909 gems $1,483 2,282 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) [Energetic Ferret](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Ferret) $591 909 gems $15.42 23.73 gems 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $591 909 gems $1,483 2,282 gems 2.51x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $15.42 23.73 gems 0.03x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $591 909 gems $649 999 gems 1.10x 2026-11-05 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $591 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 56.0% epic 9.0% restricted 35.0% best hit $1,483 (2.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt