--- title: "Golden Boot case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Boot ($103.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 100.22% over 1,608 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot rendered: 2026-11-11T17:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Golden Boot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Golden Boot A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=all) Price · $103.99 · 160 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $93.59 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.22% · 1,608 openings, odds method Variance · 16.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.64% ±31.42 656 openings 7 days · 97.72% ±21.58 1,391 openings 30 days · 100.22% ±20.07 1,608 openings since tracking started · 100.22% ±20.07 1,608 openings 65.5% 97.5% 129.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=24h) | 656 | 97.64% ±31.4 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=7d) | 1,391 | 97.72% ±21.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot) | 1,608 | 100.22% ±20.1 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-boot?window=all) | 1,608 | 100.22% ±20.1 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,689 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,755 5,777 gems | 40.1% | 20 | 16.9 | 1.18× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,755 2,700 gems | 18.8% | 19 | 16.9 | 1.12× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $744 1,145 gems | 15.9% | 33 | 33.8 | 0.98× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $497 764 gems | 10.6% | 31 | 33.8 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $352 542 gems | 7.5% | 37 | 33.8 | 1.10× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $177 272 gems | 3.8% | 41 | 33.8 | 1.21× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $68.90 106 gems | 1.5% | 36 | 33.8 | 1.07× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $35.03 53.89 gems | 1.1% | 59 | 50.7 | 1.16× | | [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) | 85.0% | $0.78 1.2 gems | 0.7% | 1,413 | 1435.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 22:13 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 21:16 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 21:07 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 17:21 UTC [Souvenir AWP | The Prince (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $3,755 5,777 gems 36.11x 2026-11-10 15:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=golden-boot) [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $68.90 106 gems 0.66x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $104 160 gems $35.03 53.89 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $352 542 gems 3.39x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) Hidden $104 160 gems $0.78 1.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $104 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.0% covert 10.0% red 2.0% restricted 2.0% uncommon 85.0% best hit $3,755 (36.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt