--- title: "Golden Gates case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Gates ($565.47) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 79.22% over 87 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Golden Gates](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Golden Gates A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=all) Price · $565.47 · 870 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $508.92 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.22% · 87 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 75 openings · below min 30 days · 87 openings · below min since tracking started · 87 openings · below min 28.5% 87.3% 146.0% **Small sample.** 87 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=7d) | 75 | 90.93% ±54.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates) | 87 | 79.22% ±50.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-gates?window=all) | 87 | 79.22% ±50.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 87 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 20 | $5,595 8,607 gems | 55.0% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3,161 4,863 gems | 31.1% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.61× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $668 1,028 gems | 6.6% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.15× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $263 405 gems | 2.6% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $134 205 gems | 1.3% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $72.49 112 gems | 0.7% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.15× | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) | 15.0% | $57.95 89.16 gems | 1.7% | 17 | 13.0 | 1.30× | | [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 15.0% | $22.63 34.82 gems | 0.7% | 11 | 13.0 | 0.84× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $8.46 13.02 gems | 0.3% | 17 | 17.4 | 0.98× | | [MP7 \| Asterion (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-asterion-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.37 3.64 gems | 0.1% | 20 | 17.4 | 1.15× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $565 870 gems $5,595 8,607 gems 9.89x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $565 870 gems $5,595 8,607 gems 9.89x 2026-11-10 02:38 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [GdZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/GdZ) $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-07 07:56 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [Mischievous Ifrit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mischievous%20Ifrit) $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-06 09:35 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [GdZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/GdZ) $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-06 00:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [GdZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/GdZ) $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $668 1,028 gems 1.18x 2026-11-09 01:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=golden-gates) [MP7 | Asterion (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-asterion-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $2.37 3.64 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $565 870 gems $8.46 13.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $3,161 4,863 gems 5.59x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $565 870 gems $5,595 8,607 gems 9.89x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [MP7 | Asterion (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-asterion-factory-new) [CodeWILDCS 2K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CodeWILDCS%202K%20LB) $565 870 gems $2.37 3.64 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:27 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $22.63 34.82 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $22.63 34.82 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $565 870 gems $8.46 13.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) Hidden $565 870 gems $57.95 89.16 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $565 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Extraordinary 5.0% covert 5.0% classified 5.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 20.0% Classified 15.0% industrial 20.0% consumer 20.0% best hit $5,595 (9.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt