--- title: "Golden Reign case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Reign ($37.92) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 84.24% over 938 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Golden Reign](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Golden Reign A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=all) Price · $37.92 · 58.34 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.13 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.24% · 938 openings, odds method Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 176 openings · below min 7 days · 85.42% ±31.42 710 openings 30 days · 84.24% ±27.33 938 openings since tracking started · 84.24% ±27.33 938 openings 42.5% 106.3% 170.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=24h) | 176 | 106.40% ±63.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=7d) | 710 | 85.42% ±31.4 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign) | 938 | 84.24% ±27.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/golden-reign?window=all) | 938 | 84.24% ±27.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 954 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,605 2,469 gems | 23.5% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,284 1,976 gems | 18.8% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $998 1,535 gems | 14.6% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $330 508 gems | 4.8% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.26× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $213 328 gems | 6.2% | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $79.94 123 gems | 2.3% | 10 | 9.5 | 1.05× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $56.85 87.46 gems | 1.7% | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $38.54 59.29 gems | 11.3% | 89 | 95.4 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 25.0% | $13.18 20.27 gems | 9.7% | 254 | 238.5 | 1.06× | | [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) | 60.0% | $3.99 6.14 gems | 7.0% | 566 | 572.4 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $1,605 2,469 gems 42.32x 2026-11-06 02:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $1,605 2,469 gems 42.32x 2026-11-05 18:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $1,605 2,469 gems 42.32x 2026-11-04 22:08 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) [Thomas the termonuclear bomb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Thomas%20the%20termonuclear%20bomb) $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-07 21:03 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) [LuckerKeks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LuckerKeks) $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-03 17:52 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-03 17:43 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $998 1,535 gems 26.31x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $37.92 58.34 gems $998 1,535 gems 26.31x 2026-11-10 22:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=golden-reign) [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $38.54 59.29 gems 1.02x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $13.18 20.27 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $37.92 58.34 gems $1,284 1,976 gems 33.86x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $13.18 20.27 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $13.18 20.27 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) Hidden $37.92 58.34 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $37.92 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% extraordinary 10.0% classified 25.0% violet 60.0% best hit $1,605 (42.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt