--- title: "Good Mood 25% BIG W case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Good Mood 25% BIG W ($23.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.71% over 690 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w rendered: 2026-11-12T13:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Good Mood 25% BIG W](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Good Mood 25% BIG W A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=all) Price · $23.61 · 36.33 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.71% · 690 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 85 openings · below min 7 days · 498 openings · below min 30 days · 690 openings · below min since tracking started · 690 openings · below min 48.0% 76.0% 104.0% **Small sample.** 690 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=24h) | 85 | 76.03% ±27.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=7d) | 498 | 87.41% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w) | 690 | 85.71% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/good-mood-25percent-big-w?window=all) | 690 | 85.71% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=good-mood-25percent-big-w) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $54.78 84.27 gems 2.32x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $54.78 84.27 gems 2.32x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) [Diogal](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Diogal) $23.61 36.33 gems $48.24 74.22 gems 2.04x 2026-11-12 13:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:38 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $48.24 74.22 gems 2.04x 2026-11-12 13:38 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:38 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.61 36.33 gems $2.98 4.58 gems 0.13x 2026-11-12 13:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.71 on average: an expected loss of $14.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt