--- title: "Granny Smith case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Granny Smith ($10.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 100.05% over 5,631 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Granny Smith](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Granny Smith A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=all) Price · $10.82 · 16.65 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.74 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.05% · 5,631 openings, odds method Variance · 23.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 100.04% ±33.39 811 openings 7 days · 103.15% ±13.63 4,869 openings 30 days · 100.05% ±12.67 5,631 openings since tracking started · 100.05% ±12.67 5,631 openings 66.0% 100.0% 134.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=24h) | 811 | 100.04% ±33.4 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=7d) | 4,869 | 103.15% ±13.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith) | 5,631 | 100.05% ±12.7 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/granny-smith?window=all) | 5,631 | 100.05% ±12.7 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,767 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $682 1,049 gems | 35.0% | 37 | 28.8 | 1.28× | | [Souvenir Nova \| Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $138 212 gems | 28.3% | 126 | 115.3 | 1.09× | | [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $67.75 104 gems | 20.9% | 165 | 173.0 | 0.95× | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $11.17 17.18 gems | 8.6% | 443 | 432.5 | 1.02× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.74 8.83 gems | 5.9% | 558 | 576.7 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.30 0.46 gems | 0.5% | 817 | 865.0 | 0.94× | | [Galil AR \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.19 0.29 gems | 0.4% | 1,179 | 1153.4 | 1.02× | | [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.16 0.25 gems | 0.3% | 1,119 | 1153.4 | 0.97× | | [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-factory-new) | 22.0% | $0.09 0.14 gems | 0.2% | 1,323 | 1268.7 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-10 20:36 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-10 20:25 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [RAITEKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RAITEKK) $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-10 20:01 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-10 04:55 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [Mischievous Frog](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mischievous%20Frog) $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [Stariks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stariks) $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-09 22:31 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-09 21:26 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [Stariks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stariks) $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-09 20:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=granny-smith) [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $5.74 8.83 gems 0.53x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $682 1,049 gems 62.98x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Galil AR | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Galil AR | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) [Zed\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Zed_) $10.82 16.65 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.30 0.46 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.30 0.46 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $10.82 16.65 gems $0.30 0.46 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.82 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 0.5% industrial 79.5% #5e98d9 20.0% best hit $682 (62.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt