---
title: "Graphic Pass case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Graphic Pass ($22.81) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 12 items with odds, observed 75.04% over 923 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Graphic Pass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Graphic Pass

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=all)

Price · $22.81 · 35.09 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $20.52 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.04% · 923 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 75.06% ±21.03 761 openings

30 days · 75.04% ±19.10 923 openings

since tracking started · 75.04% ±19.10 923 openings

-0.5% 52.5% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=24h) | 76 | 38.17% ±66.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=7d) | 761 | 75.06% ±21.0 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) | 923 | 75.04% ±19.1 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass?window=all) | 923 | 75.04% ±19.1 | −1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 923 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $679 1,045 gems | 22.8% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $237 365 gems | 20.9% | 12 | 16.7 | 0.72× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $126 194 gems | 15.4% | 12 | 23.1 | 0.52× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $82.02 126 gems | 16.0% | 39 | 36.9 | 1.06× |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $40.64 62.53 gems | 9.9% | 52 | 46.1 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $13.96 21.48 gems | 5.1% | 69 | 69.2 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $10.39 15.99 gems | 4.1% | 63 | 73.8 | 0.85× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) | 10.0% | $4.88 7.5 gems | 2.4% | 87 | 92.3 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 10.0% | $3.95 6.08 gems | 1.9% | 101 | 92.3 | 1.09× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1.68 2.58 gems | 1.1% | 115 | 120.0 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.51 0.78 gems | 0.4% | 152 | 138.4 | 1.10× |
| [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-field-tested) | 22.5% | $0.08 0.13 gems | 0.1% | 216 | 207.7 | 1.04× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) [Rewu](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Rewu) $22.81 35.09 gems $679 1,045 gems 29.78x 2026-11-09 14:04 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $679 1,045 gems 29.78x 2026-11-07 21:32 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $679 1,045 gems 29.78x 2026-11-06 13:37 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $679 1,045 gems 29.78x 2026-11-05 17:42 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $679 1,045 gems 29.78x 2026-11-03 08:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=graphic-pass)

[SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $10.39 15.99 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $3.95 6.08 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $13.96 21.48 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-field-tested) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) [👌](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F0%9F%91%8C) $22.81 35.09 gems $0.51 0.78 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $3.95 6.08 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC

[M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $13.96 21.48 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $4.88 7.5 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $4.88 7.5 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $22.81 | 89.98% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.7% rare 13.3% violet 7.5% uncommon 28.0% blue 13.0% #5e98d9 37.5% best hit $679 (29.78x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt