--- title: "Graveyard Hours case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Graveyard Hours ($15.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 63.04% over 3,597 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Graveyard Hours](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Graveyard Hours A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=all) Price · $15.07 · 23.19 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $13.56 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 63.04% · 3,597 openings, odds method Variance · 39.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48.27% ±56.63 469 openings 7 days · 63.64% ±22.07 3,087 openings 30 days · 63.04% ±20.45 3,597 openings since tracking started · 63.04% ±20.45 3,597 openings -0.5% 52.5% 105.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.98% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (42.60% – 83.49%, 3,597 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=24h) | 469 | 48.27% ±56.6 | −1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=7d) | 3,087 | 63.64% ±22.1 | −2.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours) | 3,597 | 63.04% ±20.4 | −2.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours?window=all) | 3,597 | 63.04% ±20.4 | −2.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,639 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,233 3,436 gems | 24.7% | 1 | 5.5 | 0.18× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $588 905 gems | 10.8% | 5 | 9.1 | 0.55× | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $282 434 gems | 12.5% | 14 | 21.8 | 0.64× | | [★ Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $112 173 gems | 8.3% | 35 | 36.4 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $43.21 66.48 gems | 9.6% | 103 | 109.2 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $31.43 48.36 gems | 11.6% | 178 | 182.0 | 0.98× | | [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $13.47 20.72 gems | 9.9% | 371 | 363.9 | 1.02× | | [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $3.97 6.1 gems | 5.8% | 724 | 727.8 | 0.99× | | [MP5-SD \| Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $2.31 3.55 gems | 5.1% | 1,120 | 1091.7 | 1.03× | | [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.75 1.15 gems | 1.7% | 1,088 | 1091.7 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $2,233 3,436 gems 148.2x 2026-11-06 11:48 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $588 905 gems 39.04x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $588 905 gems 39.04x 2026-11-09 08:08 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $588 905 gems 39.04x 2026-11-07 09:51 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $588 905 gems 39.04x 2026-11-05 18:42 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $588 905 gems 39.04x 2026-11-05 11:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=graveyard-hours) [MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $2.31 3.55 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) [Nami-Swan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nami-Swan!) $15.07 23.19 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $2.31 3.55 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $15.07 23.19 gems $2.31 3.55 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [MP9 | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $13.47 20.72 gems 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $2.31 3.55 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) [Nami-Swan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nami-Swan!) $15.07 23.19 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $15.07 23.19 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $3.97 6.1 gems 0.26x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.07 23.19 gems $2.31 3.55 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.07 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.1% classified 0.3% epic 0.6% rare 5.0% #8847ff 40.0% Legendary 20.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $2,233 (148.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt