--- title: "GREEDY case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "GREEDY ($143.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 90.92% over 2,346 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [GREEDY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · GREEDY A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=all) Price · $143.03 · 220 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $128.72 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.92% · 2,346 openings, odds method Variance · 45.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 143 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 158 openings · below min 7 days · 85.27% ±28.73 2,111 openings 30 days · 90.92% ±27.26 2,346 openings since tracking started · 90.92% ±27.26 2,346 openings -0.5% 81.3% 163.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=24h) | 158 | 57.36% ±105.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=7d) | 2,111 | 85.27% ±28.7 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy) | 2,346 | 90.92% ±27.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/greedy?window=all) | 2,346 | 90.92% ±27.3 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,413 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 500 | $16.3K 25,057 gems | 25.3% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× | | [Sticker \| bondik (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 500 | $11.7K 18,000 gems | 18.2% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $4,649 7,153 gems | 10.8% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.24× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $3,282 5,049 gems | 7.6% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $1,902 2,925 gems | 7.4% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.75× | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 200 | $1,365 2,101 gems | 5.3% | 14 | 12.1 | 1.16× | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $978 1,505 gems | 7.6% | 27 | 24.1 | 1.12× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $599 922 gems | 4.7% | 18 | 24.1 | 0.75× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $489 753 gems | 3.8% | 32 | 24.1 | 1.33× | | [M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 20.0% | $21.33 32.81 gems | 3.3% | 472 | 482.6 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 30.0% | $14.89 22.91 gems | 3.5% | 709 | 723.9 | 0.98× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 45.0% | $7.15 11 gems | 2.5% | 1,109 | 1085.9 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) [Smiling Goose](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Smiling%20Goose) $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-10 09:06 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) Hidden $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-10 01:49 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) Hidden $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-09 01:10 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) Hidden $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-04 21:08 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) Hidden $143 220 gems $16.3K 25,057 gems 113.9x 2026-11-03 03:42 UTC [Sticker | bondik (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $143 220 gems $11.7K 18,000 gems 81.80x 2026-11-10 09:04 UTC [Sticker | bondik (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $143 220 gems $11.7K 18,000 gems 81.80x 2026-11-05 01:59 UTC [Sticker | bondik (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $143 220 gems $11.7K 18,000 gems 81.80x 2026-11-04 01:41 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $143 220 gems $4,649 7,153 gems 32.51x 2026-11-11 00:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=greedy) [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $7.15 11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $7.15 11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $7.15 11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $14.89 22.91 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $143 220 gems $1,902 2,925 gems 13.30x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $143 220 gems $14.89 22.91 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $7.15 11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $14.89 22.91 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC [M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $21.33 32.81 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $143 220 gems $7.15 11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $143 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.2% extraordinary 0.2% remarkable 1.8% legendary 0.3% Extraordinary 0.5% covert 47.0% restricted 20.0% classified 30.0% best hit $16.3K (113.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt