--- title: "Green Crystals case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Green Crystals ($84.49) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 78.17% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Green Crystals](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Green Crystals A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=all) Price · $84.49 · 130 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $76.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.17% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 96 openings · below min 30 days · 78.17% ±35.25 156 openings since tracking started · 78.17% ±35.25 156 openings 25.0% 70.8% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=7d) | 96 | 70.80% ±44.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals) | 156 | 78.17% ±35.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/green-crystals?window=all) | 156 | 78.17% ±35.3 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,514 8,483 gems | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $422 649 gems | 16.1% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.66× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 17.0% | $144 222 gems | 32.2% | 29 | 26.5 | 1.09× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 20.0% | $110 170 gems | 29.0% | 28 | 31.2 | 0.90× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $37.20 57.23 gems | 4.9% | 9 | 15.6 | 0.58× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $25.21 38.78 gems | 3.3% | 20 | 15.6 | 1.28× | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $15.13 23.27 gems | 3.0% | 30 | 23.4 | 1.28× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 25.0% | $12.77 19.64 gems | 4.2% | 37 | 39.0 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=green-crystals) [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $12.77 19.64 gems 0.15x 2026-11-08 01:21 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $25.21 38.78 gems 0.30x 2026-11-08 01:21 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $12.77 19.64 gems 0.15x 2026-11-08 01:21 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) [news](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/news) $84.49 130 gems $12.77 19.64 gems 0.15x 2026-11-08 01:21 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $144 222 gems 1.71x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $15.13 23.27 gems 0.18x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $110 170 gems 1.31x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $110 170 gems 1.31x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) Hidden $84.49 130 gems $110 170 gems 1.31x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [UDDSR\_Owner](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/UDDSR_Owner) $84.49 130 gems $144 222 gems 1.71x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $84.49 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.1% extraordinary 2.9% restricted 57.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt