--- title: "Growler case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Growler ($20.89) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 16 items with odds, observed 93.91% over 3,527 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler rendered: 2026-11-11T15:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Growler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Growler A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=all) Price · $20.89 · 32.14 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.91% · 3,527 openings, odds method Variance · 16.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.46% ±38.25 436 openings 7 days · 92.72% ±15.51 2,651 openings 30 days · 93.91% ±13.45 3,527 openings since tracking started · 93.91% ±13.45 3,527 openings 50.5% 89.5% 128.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=24h) | 436 | 89.46% ±38.2 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=7d) | 2,651 | 92.72% ±15.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler) | 3,527 | 93.91% ±13.4 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/growler?window=all) | 3,527 | 93.91% ±13.4 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,745 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,405 2,161 gems | 7.5% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $829 1,276 gems | 11.0% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.39× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $628 966 gems | 10.0% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $358 551 gems | 14.3% | 32 | 28.1 | 1.14× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $347 533 gems | 13.8% | 34 | 28.1 | 1.21× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $188 290 gems | 10.0% | 41 | 37.5 | 1.09× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $141 217 gems | 7.5% | 30 | 37.5 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $125 193 gems | 6.7% | 48 | 37.5 | 1.28× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $114 175 gems | 6.1% | 44 | 37.5 | 1.17× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $16.48 25.36 gems | 4.4% | 214 | 187.3 | 1.14× | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $8.00 12.3 gems | 2.1% | 175 | 187.3 | 0.93× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.13 7.89 gems | 2.7% | 363 | 374.5 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.46 5.32 gems | 1.8% | 400 | 374.5 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.77 4.26 gems | 1.5% | 363 | 374.5 | 0.97× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) | 25.0% | $0.23 0.35 gems | 0.3% | 915 | 936.3 | 0.98× | | [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) | 28.8% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.3% | 1,060 | 1080.4 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-08 23:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-07 09:12 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [certified boogeyman](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/certified%20boogeyman) $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-07 06:08 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-06 17:29 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-06 17:29 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-05 22:17 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-04 15:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $829 1,276 gems 39.69x 2026-11-04 04:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=growler) [Sealed Graffiti | Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $5.13 7.89 gems 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $141 217 gems 6.75x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) [Alboholics](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Alboholics) $20.89 32.14 gems $16.48 25.36 gems 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $5.13 7.89 gems 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $3.46 5.32 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Toy Tiger graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-toy-tiger) Hidden $20.89 32.14 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $20.89 | 89.98% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.9% extraordinary 0.3% gold 1.0% classified 6.0% #4b69ff 5.0% industrial 38.8% mil spec 10.0% Rare 35.0% best hit $829 (39.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt