---
title: "Gunslinger Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gunslinger Case ($37.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 84.68% over 477 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gunslinger Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gunslinger Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=all)

Price · $37.82 · 58.19 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.04 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.68% · 477 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70.71% ±29.79 164 openings

7 days · 79.80% ±19.65 377 openings

30 days · 84.68% ±17.47 477 openings

since tracking started · 84.68% ±17.47 477 openings

40.5% 71.8% 103.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=24h) | 164 | 70.71% ±29.8 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=7d) | 377 | 79.80% ±19.6 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case) | 477 | 84.68% ±17.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gunslinger-case?window=all) | 477 | 84.68% ±17.5 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 525 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $551 848 gems | 16.2% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.38× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $293 451 gems | 8.6% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $194 299 gems | 11.4% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $151 233 gems | 8.9% | 18 | 10.5 | 1.71× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $124 191 gems | 14.6% | 26 | 21.0 | 1.24× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $113 174 gems | 13.3% | 21 | 21.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $70.85 109 gems | 8.3% | 20 | 21.0 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $44.77 68.88 gems | 6.6% | 24 | 26.3 | 0.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.38 23.66 gems | 2.3% | 28 | 26.3 | 1.07× |
| [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) | 17.0% | $11.77 18.11 gems | 5.9% | 76 | 89.3 | 0.85× |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) | 55.0% | $2.45 3.77 gems | 4.0% | 296 | 288.8 | 1.03× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $551 848 gems 14.57x 2026-11-06 22:42 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $551 848 gems 14.57x 2026-11-03 21:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gunslinger-case)

[AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $194 299 gems 5.14x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $70.85 109 gems 1.87x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $2.45 3.77 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $2.45 3.77 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $11.77 18.11 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $37.82 58.19 gems $11.77 18.11 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $44.77 68.88 gems 1.18x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $2.45 3.77 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

[P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $11.77 18.11 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.82 58.19 gems $113 174 gems 2.99x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $37.82 | 90.00% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 1.0% gold 1.0% classified 2.0% covert 10.0% Ancient 4.0% restricted 5.0% Industrial Grade 5.0% industrial 17.0% #87c7ff 55.0% best hit $551 (14.57x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
