--- title: "Gutted case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gutted ($105.31) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.08% over 87 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted rendered: 2026-11-11T15:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Gutted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Gutted A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=all) Price · $105.31 · 162 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $94.78 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.08% · 87 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 81 openings · below min 30 days · 87 openings · below min since tracking started · 87 openings · below min 54.0% 87.0% 120.0% **Small sample.** 87 openings and 8.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=7d) | 81 | 86.28% ±31.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted) | 87 | 89.08% ±30.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gutted?window=all) | 87 | 89.08% ±30.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 87 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $539 830 gems | 28.5% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.38× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $437 673 gems | 23.1% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $269 414 gems | 14.2% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $216 333 gems | 11.4% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $159 245 gems | 8.4% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.15× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $95.06 146 gems | 5.0% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.92× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $68.02 105 gems | 3.6% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.61× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $56.38 86.74 gems | 3.0% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.38× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $53.10 81.69 gems | 2.8% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) | 55.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.1% | 47 | 47.9 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-09 18:37 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-05 16:42 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-04 21:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=gutted) [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $105 162 gems $539 830 gems 5.12x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $105 162 gems $437 673 gems 4.15x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $105 162 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $105 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 30.0% sunny 5.0% covert knife 10.0% high 55.0% best hit $539 (5.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt