--- title: "Heartbeat Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heartbeat Case ($1,866.01) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 93.71% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Heartbeat Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Heartbeat Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=all) Price · $1,866.01 · 2,871 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,679.41 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.71% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 33 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min 34.5% 113.0% 191.5% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=24h) | 18 | 113.11% ±77.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=7d) | 33 | 93.71% ±57.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case) | 33 | 93.71% ±57.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/heartbeat-case?window=all) | 33 | 93.71% ±57.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9,855 15,162 gems | 29.3% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.82× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9,315 14,331 gems | 27.7% | 6 | 1.6 | 3.64× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7,287 11,212 gems | 21.7% | 6 | 1.6 | 3.64× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2,377 3,657 gems | 21.2% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.21× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 gems | 0.0% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 0.0% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [BOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BOTAIRTXonKICK%20Refbot%2Cai%2050kLBs) $1,866 2,871 gems $9,855 15,162 gems 5.28x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $1,866 2,871 gems $9,855 15,162 gems 5.28x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $1,866 2,871 gems $9,855 15,162 gems 5.28x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 4.99x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 4.99x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=heartbeat-case) [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 4.99x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,866 2,871 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,866 2,871 gems $2,377 3,657 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,866 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 5.0% sunny 25.0% milspec 20.0% consumer 50.0% best hit $9,855 (5.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt