--- title: "Hell case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hell case ($74.05) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 13 items with odds, observed 90.93% over 585 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Hell case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Hell case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=all) Price · $74.05 · 114 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $66.64 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.93% · 585 openings, odds method Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 96.40% ±19.07 515 openings 30 days · 90.93% ±17.90 585 openings since tracking started · 90.93% ±17.90 585 openings 51.0% 100.0% 149.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=24h) | 80 | 100.15% ±48.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=7d) | 515 | 96.40% ±19.1 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case) | 585 | 90.93% ±17.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case?window=all) | 585 | 90.93% ±17.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 585 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,527 2,350 gems | 11.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,017 1,564 gems | 7.6% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.71× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $652 1,003 gems | 9.8% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $420 646 gems | 9.5% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.80× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $341 524 gems | 12.8% | 22 | 14.6 | 1.50× | | [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $289 444 gems | 8.7% | 12 | 11.7 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $216 333 gems | 6.5% | 10 | 11.7 | 0.85× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $162 249 gems | 12.2% | 28 | 29.3 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $88.65 136 gems | 6.7% | 33 | 29.3 | 1.13× | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 10.0% | $38.44 59.14 gems | 5.8% | 55 | 58.5 | 0.94× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 15.0% | $23.28 35.81 gems | 5.2% | 95 | 87.8 | 1.08× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-field-tested) | 15.0% | $11.48 17.66 gems | 2.6% | 81 | 87.8 | 0.92× | | [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) | 40.0% | $2.26 3.47 gems | 1.4% | 232 | 234.0 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,527 2,350 gems 20.63x 2026-11-07 14:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,527 2,350 gems 20.63x 2026-11-04 20:03 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,017 1,564 gems 13.73x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,017 1,564 gems 13.73x 2026-11-07 19:15 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,017 1,564 gems 13.73x 2026-11-07 08:29 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,017 1,564 gems 13.73x 2026-11-06 12:08 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $1,017 1,564 gems 13.73x 2026-11-05 01:17 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $652 1,003 gems 8.80x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $652 1,003 gems 8.80x 2026-11-08 20:42 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $652 1,003 gems 8.80x 2026-11-06 00:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=hell-case) [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-field-tested) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $162 249 gems 2.19x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $23.28 35.81 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $74.05 114 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $341 524 gems 4.60x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $38.44 59.14 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $38.44 59.14 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) Hidden $74.05 114 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $74.05 | 89.99% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.0% Covert 0.5% covert 1.0% rare 4.5% mil spec 72.0% extraordinary 5.0% Ancient 5.0% restricted 10.0% best hit $1,527 (20.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt