--- title: "Highroller Dreams case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Highroller Dreams ($729.23) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 66.33% over 34 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Highroller Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Highroller Dreams A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=all) Price · $729.23 · 1,122 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $656.30 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 66.33% · 34 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 34 openings · below min since tracking started · 34 openings · below min -0.5% 70.0% 140.5% **Small sample.** 34 openings and 5.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=7d) | 4 | 12.76% ±127.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams) | 34 | 66.33% ±43.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/highroller-dreams?window=all) | 34 | 66.33% ±43.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $5,054 7,776 gems | 19.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3,135 4,823 gems | 11.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,492 2,296 gems | 22.7% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $896 1,379 gems | 20.5% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 10.0% | $857 1,318 gems | 13.1% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $367 565 gems | 5.6% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.76× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 20.0% | $225 346 gems | 6.9% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.54 2.37 gems | 0.1% | 12 | 10.2 | 1.18× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $3,135 4,823 gems 4.30x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1,492 2,296 gems 2.05x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1,492 2,296 gems 2.05x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1,492 2,296 gems 2.05x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $896 1,379 gems 1.23x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gentle Anteater](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gentle%20Anteater) $729 1,122 gems $896 1,379 gems 1.23x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $896 1,379 gems 1.23x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [Gentle Anteater](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gentle%20Anteater) $729 1,122 gems $857 1,318 gems 1.18x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $857 1,318 gems 1.18x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $857 1,318 gems 1.18x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=highroller-dreams) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1.54 2.37 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1.54 2.37 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $729 1,122 gems $1.54 2.37 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $729 1,122 gems $367 565 gems 0.50x 2026-11-10 06:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $729 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.5% legendary 2.5% classified 40.0% sunny 30.0% best hit $3,135 (4.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt