--- title: "Holo King case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Holo King ($2,812.75) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 69.03% over 98 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king rendered: 2026-11-12T05:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Holo King](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Holo King A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=all) Price · $2,812.75 · 4,327 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,531.45 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.03% · 98 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 86 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min -0.5% 75.8% 152.0% **Small sample.** 98 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=24h) | 20 | 27.73% ±123.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=7d) | 86 | 65.76% ±59.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king) | 98 | 69.03% ±55.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/holo-king?window=all) | 98 | 69.03% ±55.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 27.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $32.5K 50,000 gems | 25.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $26K 40,000 gems | 20.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $18.4K 28,238 gems | 14.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $15.6K 24,000 gems | 12.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× | | [Sticker \| rain (Champion) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.0% | 90 | 88.2 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [Meluhdy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Meluhdy) $2,813 4,327 gems $34.1K 52,490 gems 12.13x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 11.55x 2026-11-05 12:31 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 11.55x 2026-11-05 12:21 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $26K 40,000 gems 9.24x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) [jurassicpeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/jurassicpeek) $2,813 4,327 gems $18.4K 28,238 gems 6.53x 2026-11-07 01:13 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $15.6K 24,000 gems 5.55x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $15.6K 24,000 gems 5.55x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $15.6K 24,000 gems 5.55x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=holo-king) [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $15.6K 24,000 gems 5.55x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [fenom](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fenom) $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [fenom](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fenom) $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2,813 4,327 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2,813 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 6.0% remarkable 4.0% Rare 90.0% best hit $34.1K (12.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt