--- title: "Hologram case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hologram ($385.81) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 93.92% over 546 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram rendered: 2026-11-11T20:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Hologram](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Hologram A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=all) Price · $385.81 · 594 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $347.22 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.92% · 546 openings, odds method Variance · 15.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 97.68% ±42.12 327 openings 30 days · 93.92% ±32.59 546 openings since tracking started · 93.92% ±32.59 546 openings -0.5% 70.0% 140.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=24h) | 42 | 17.31% ±117.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=7d) | 327 | 97.68% ±42.1 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram) | 546 | 93.92% ±32.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hologram?window=all) | 546 | 93.92% ±32.6 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 552 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $16.6K 25,500 gems | 23.9% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 67 | $6,409 9,860 gems | 27.7% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $3,803 5,850 gems | 21.9% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $1,765 2,715 gems | 10.2% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.18× | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $1,050 1,616 gems | 6.0% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.82× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 17 | $241 371 gems | 4.2% | 36 | 33.1 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 17 | $126 193 gems | 2.2% | 33 | 33.1 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-atlanta-2017) | 16.0% | $56.19 86.44 gems | 2.6% | 104 | 88.3 | 1.18× | | [Sticker \| SK Gaming (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) | 16.0% | $20.09 30.9 gems | 0.9% | 80 | 88.3 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| G2 Esports (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-holo-cologne-2016) | 16.0% | $6.84 10.52 gems | 0.3% | 77 | 88.3 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) | 16.0% | $3.20 4.92 gems | 0.1% | 87 | 88.3 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Chief (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chief-holo) | 16.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.0% | 91 | 88.3 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $16.6K 25,500 gems 42.96x 2026-11-09 11:05 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $16.6K 25,500 gems 42.96x 2026-11-07 16:37 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $16.6K 25,500 gems 42.96x 2026-11-06 09:34 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-07 16:35 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-05 18:20 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-05 05:57 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-04 00:21 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-04 00:18 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-03 22:19 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $386 594 gems $6,409 9,860 gems 16.61x 2026-11-03 04:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=hologram) [Sticker | Chief (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chief-holo) Hidden $386 594 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | SK Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $386 594 gems $20.09 30.9 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) Hidden $386 594 gems $3.20 4.92 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Chief (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chief-holo) Hidden $386 594 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $386 594 gems $56.19 86.44 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) [CODE SEXYBOOM / 20K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CODE%20SEXYBOOM%20%2F%2020K%20LB) $386 594 gems $3.20 4.92 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | SK Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $386 594 gems $20.09 30.9 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) Hidden $386 594 gems $3.20 4.92 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) Hidden $386 594 gems $3.20 4.92 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $386 594 gems $56.19 86.44 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $386 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 50.0% legendary 2.0% #8847ff 16.0% Mythical 32.0% best hit $16.6K (42.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt