---
title: "Howl Abuser case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Howl Abuser ($190.79) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 97.31% over 673 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Howl Abuser](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Howl Abuser

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=all)

Price · $190.79 · 294 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $171.71 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.31% · 673 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 62 openings · below min

7 days · 99.42% ±26.84 489 openings

30 days · 97.31% ±22.88 673 openings

since tracking started · 97.31% ±22.88 673 openings

72.0% 162.0% 252.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=24h) | 62 | 175.99% ±75.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=7d) | 489 | 99.42% ±26.8 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser) | 673 | 97.31% ±22.9 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-abuser?window=all) | 673 | 97.31% ±22.9 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 709 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,175 6,423 gems | 24.3% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.41× |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2,790 4,292 gems | 16.2% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,997 3,072 gems | 11.6% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.85× |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1,189 1,829 gems | 34.6% | 38 | 35.4 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 46.0% | $39.68 61.04 gems | 10.6% | 333 | 326.1 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 46.0% | $9.60 14.77 gems | 2.6% | 315 | 326.1 | 0.97× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [VarsityGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VarsityGambles) $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-04 19:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-04 04:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-03 08:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-03 08:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [HAKAO](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HAKAO) $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-02 23:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=howl-abuser)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $39.68 61.04 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $39.68 61.04 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $39.68 61.04 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $191 294 gems $4,175 6,423 gems 21.88x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $191 294 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $39.68 61.04 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $39.68 61.04 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) Hidden $191 294 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $191 | 90.00% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 8.0% covert 92.0% best hit $4,175 (21.88x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
