--- title: "Howl Flip case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Howl Flip ($1,577.65) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 97.30% over 9 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip rendered: 2026-11-11T18:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Howl Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Howl Flip A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=all) Price · $1,577.65 · 2,427 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,419.88 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.30% · 9 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min 34.5% 97.3% 160.0% **Small sample.** 9 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=7d) | 9 | 97.30% ±62.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip) | 9 | 97.30% ±62.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/howl-flip?window=all) | 9 | 97.30% ±62.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4,188 6,443 gems | 29.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2,790 4,292 gems | 19.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 30.0% | $2,406 3,702 gems | 50.8% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.44 0.67 gems | 0.0% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.65x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=howl-flip) [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $0.44 0.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $1,578 2,427 gems $0.44 0.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $0.44 0.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $2,406 3,702 gems 1.53x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,578 2,427 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.65x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) [bandits](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/bandits) $1,578 2,427 gems $0.44 0.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $1,578 | 90.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 50.0% milspec 50.0% best hit $4,188 (2.65x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt