--- title: "Ice Man case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ice Man ($108.19) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 105.89% over 240 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Ice Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Ice Man A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=all) Price · $108.19 · 166 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $97.37 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.89% · 240 openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 107.43% ±29.30 232 openings 30 days · 105.89% ±28.80 240 openings since tracking started · 105.89% ±28.80 240 openings 55.0% 107.5% 160.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=24h) | 74 | 107.68% ±51.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=7d) | 232 | 107.43% ±29.3 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man) | 240 | 105.89% ±28.8 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ice-man?window=all) | 240 | 105.89% ±28.8 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 240 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,143 1,758 gems | 58.7% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 10.0% | $158 243 gems | 16.2% | 26 | 24.0 | 1.08× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) | 10.0% | $139 214 gems | 14.3% | 27 | 24.0 | 1.13× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $59.92 92.19 gems | 3.1% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $58.62 90.19 gems | 3.0% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $30.51 46.94 gems | 1.6% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Tempest (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-tempest-factory-new) | 10.0% | $17.46 26.86 gems | 1.8% | 17 | 24.0 | 0.71× | | [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.19 7.98 gems | 1.3% | 60 | 60.0 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.10 0.15 gems | 0.0% | 57 | 60.0 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-11 03:42 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-11 03:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-11 03:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-10 19:49 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-09 16:52 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-09 16:50 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-09 03:01 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-09 02:46 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-08 16:35 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $1,143 1,758 gems 10.56x 2026-11-08 16:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ice-man) [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $5.19 7.98 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $158 243 gems 1.46x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Tempest (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-tempest-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $17.46 26.86 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $30.51 46.94 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $5.19 7.98 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $108 166 gems $0.10 0.15 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $5.19 7.98 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $0.10 0.15 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $5.19 7.98 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $108 166 gems $5.19 7.98 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $108 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 40.0% covert 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Legendary 5.0% #4B69FF 10.0% industrial 25.0% best hit $1,143 (10.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt