--- title: "Impulse Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Impulse Case ($16.37) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 94.29% over 5,289 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Impulse Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Impulse Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=all) Price · $16.37 · 25.19 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.74 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.29% · 5,289 openings, odds method Variance · 8.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.35% ±19.14 875 openings 7 days · 93.87% ±8.50 4,430 openings 30 days · 94.29% ±7.78 5,289 openings since tracking started · 94.29% ±7.78 5,289 openings 69.5% 89.3% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=24h) | 875 | 89.35% ±19.1 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=7d) | 4,430 | 93.87% ±8.50 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case) | 5,289 | 94.29% ±7.78 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/impulse-case?window=all) | 5,289 | 94.29% ±7.78 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,326 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $219 338 gems | 74.5% | 287 | 266.3 | 1.08× | | [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.34 32.83 gems | 7.2% | 257 | 266.3 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) | 10.0% | $13.29 20.45 gems | 9.0% | 508 | 532.6 | 0.95× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.48 8.43 gems | 3.7% | 532 | 532.6 | 1.00× | | [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.73 5.74 gems | 2.5% | 547 | 532.6 | 1.03× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.42 3.72 gems | 1.6% | 518 | 532.6 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.73 1.12 gems | 0.5% | 512 | 532.6 | 0.96× | | [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.45 0.7 gems | 0.6% | 1,070 | 1065.2 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Red Tide (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.3% | 1,095 | 1065.2 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=impulse-case) [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $0.73 1.12 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Solitude (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-factory-new) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $21.34 32.83 gems 1.30x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) [Danny](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Danny) $16.37 25.19 gems $0.73 1.12 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Solitude (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-factory-new) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $21.34 32.83 gems 1.30x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $2.42 3.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.81x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.37 25.19 gems $0.73 1.12 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $16.37 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 5.0% Legendary 5.0% pink 10.0% Mythical 30.0% #d32ee6 10.0% violet 20.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt