--- title: "Industrial Hazard case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Industrial Hazard ($49.33) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.71% over 350 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard rendered: 2026-11-11T19:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Industrial Hazard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Industrial Hazard A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=all) Price · $49.33 · 75.89 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $44.40 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.71% · 350 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 86.55% ±20.52 320 openings 30 days · 86.71% ±19.62 350 openings since tracking started · 86.71% ±19.62 350 openings 18.5% 69.3% 120.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=24h) | 54 | 69.33% ±49.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=7d) | 320 | 86.55% ±20.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) | 350 | 86.71% ±19.6 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard?window=all) | 350 | 86.71% ±19.6 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 350 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $547 841 gems | 24.6% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.86× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $284 437 gems | 19.2% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $157 241 gems | 17.6% | 15 | 17.5 | 0.86× | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $97.33 150 gems | 11.0% | 19 | 17.5 | 1.09× | | [UMP-45 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 10.0% | $54.54 83.91 gems | 12.3% | 38 | 35.0 | 1.09× | | [XM1014 \| Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $20.80 32 gems | 7.0% | 54 | 52.5 | 1.03× | | [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 15.0% | $11.36 17.47 gems | 3.8% | 48 | 52.5 | 0.91× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-field-tested) | 15.0% | $8.11 12.47 gems | 2.7% | 42 | 52.5 | 0.80× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $4.30 6.62 gems | 1.5% | 57 | 52.5 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.57 0.88 gems | 0.2% | 60 | 52.5 | 1.14× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-10 15:42 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-09 23:17 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-08 17:45 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $49.33 75.89 gems $547 841 gems 11.09x 2026-11-08 07:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=industrial-hazard) [M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $0.57 0.88 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $11.36 17.47 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $4.30 6.62 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $4.30 6.62 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-well-worn) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $97.33 150 gems 1.97x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $49.33 75.89 gems $4.30 6.62 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $0.57 0.88 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $54.54 83.91 gems 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $11.36 17.47 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $0.57 0.88 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $49.33 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.0% mil spec 33.0% Classified 5.0% industrial 10.0% Uncommon 15.0% classified 15.0% blueLight 15.0% best hit $547 (11.09x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt