--- title: "Infra Red case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Infra Red ($11.06) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.52% over 4,738 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red rendered: 2026-11-11T17:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Infra Red](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Infra Red A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=all) Price · $11.06 · 17.02 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $9.95 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.52% · 4,738 openings, odds method Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 71.63% ±29.05 826 openings 7 days · 94.66% ±12.84 4,230 openings 30 days · 92.52% ±12.13 4,738 openings since tracking started · 92.52% ±12.13 4,738 openings 42.0% 75.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=24h) | 826 | 71.63% ±29.1 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=7d) | 4,230 | 94.66% ±12.8 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red) | 4,738 | 92.52% ±12.1 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/infra-red?window=all) | 4,738 | 92.52% ±12.1 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,951 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $963 1,481 gems | 19.3% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.11× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $313 482 gems | 9.4% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $60.84 93.6 gems | 6.1% | 70 | 49.5 | 1.41× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $28.54 43.91 gems | 28.7% | 477 | 495.1 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 14.0% | $19.13 29.43 gems | 26.9% | 691 | 693.1 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.50 6.93 gems | 6.8% | 786 | 742.6 | 1.06× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.63 0.97 gems | 1.6% | 1,205 | 1237.7 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 34.5% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 1.1% | 1,697 | 1708.1 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [DJAMAIKATA](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DJAMAIKATA) $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-09 19:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-08 23:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-08 15:39 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [paris0743](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/paris0743) $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-08 05:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-08 04:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [◘Unorthodox-Box■](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%97%98Unorthodox-Box%E2%96%A0) $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-06 21:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-06 19:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-06 11:14 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [DAD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DAD) $11.06 17.02 gems $963 1,481 gems 87.02x 2026-11-05 02:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=infra-red) [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $4.50 6.93 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $28.54 43.91 gems 2.58x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [USP-S | Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $19.13 29.43 gems 1.73x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [USP-S | Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $11.06 17.02 gems $19.13 29.43 gems 1.73x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 17.02 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC [USP-S | Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $11.06 17.02 gems $19.13 29.43 gems 1.73x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $11.06 | 89.97% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.2% Extraordinary 0.3% restricted 1.0% classified 39.0% mil spec 59.5% best hit $963 (87.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt