--- title: "INSANE 10% KNIFE case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "INSANE 10% KNIFE ($24.16) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.70% over 5,572 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife rendered: 2026-11-11T22:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [INSANE 10% KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · INSANE 10% KNIFE A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=all) Price · $24.16 · 37.17 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.70% · 5,572 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 976 openings · below min 7 days · 86.46% ±10.67 4,560 openings 30 days · 88.70% ±9.78 5,572 openings since tracking started · 88.70% ±9.78 5,572 openings 59.5% 82.0% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=24h) | 976 | 81.98% ±21.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=7d) | 4,560 | 86.46% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife) | 5,572 | 88.70% ±9.78 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/insane-10percent-knife?window=all) | 5,572 | 88.70% ±9.78 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $1,143 1,759 gems 47.32x 2026-11-05 09:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $924 1,422 gems 38.26x 2026-11-08 08:10 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Ąžuolas Milčius](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%C4%84%C5%BEuolas%20Mil%C4%8Dius) $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [hazy.](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/hazy.) $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-10 22:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-10 22:20 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-09 13:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-08 23:45 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $691 1,064 gems 28.62x 2026-11-08 17:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=insane-10percent-knife) [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-well-worn) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $70.55 109 gems 2.92x 2026-11-11 21:53 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) [gabimikeq](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/gabimikeq) $24.16 37.17 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,143 (47.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.70 on average: an expected loss of $11.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt