--- title: "Interstellar case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Interstellar ($92.00) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 93.96% over 841 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Interstellar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Interstellar A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=all) Price · $92.00 · 142 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $82.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.96% · 841 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.01% ±44.24 158 openings 7 days · 94.51% ±19.65 801 openings 30 days · 93.96% ±19.18 841 openings since tracking started · 93.96% ±19.18 841 openings 29.0% 74.0% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=24h) | 158 | 74.01% ±44.2 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=7d) | 801 | 94.51% ±19.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar) | 841 | 93.96% ±19.2 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/interstellar?window=all) | 841 | 93.96% ±19.2 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 867 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3,202 4,926 gems | 7.7% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $2,428 3,735 gems | 7.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.38× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,350 2,077 gems | 8.2% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.92× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,216 1,871 gems | 7.3% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.61× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $852 1,311 gems | 7.7% | 5 | 6.5 | 0.77× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $679 1,044 gems | 8.2% | 6 | 8.7 | 0.69× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $633 974 gems | 9.9% | 10 | 11.3 | 0.89× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $561 864 gems | 10.2% | 15 | 13.0 | 1.15× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $298 459 gems | 10.8% | 34 | 26.0 | 1.31× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $65.13 100 gems | 3.9% | 39 | 43.4 | 0.90× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $44.17 67.96 gems | 4.0% | 65 | 65.0 | 1.00× | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $28.14 43.29 gems | 3.4% | 90 | 86.7 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 10.0% | $21.00 32.31 gems | 2.5% | 90 | 86.7 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 15.0% | $19.31 29.7 gems | 3.5% | 133 | 130.0 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 20.0% | $12.08 18.58 gems | 2.9% | 148 | 173.4 | 0.85× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 23.5% | $8.18 12.58 gems | 2.3% | 216 | 203.7 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $3,202 4,926 gems 34.81x 2026-11-07 21:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $3,202 4,926 gems 34.81x 2026-11-06 23:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $2,428 3,735 gems 26.39x 2026-11-06 21:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $2,428 3,735 gems 26.39x 2026-11-06 20:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) [Tae](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Tae) $92.00 142 gems $2,428 3,735 gems 26.39x 2026-11-02 21:54 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $1,350 2,077 gems 14.67x 2026-11-07 22:09 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $1,350 2,077 gems 14.67x 2026-11-06 21:25 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $1,350 2,077 gems 14.67x 2026-11-06 21:03 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) [Gschissana](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gschissana) $92.00 142 gems $1,350 2,077 gems 14.67x 2026-11-03 21:57 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $1,216 1,871 gems 13.22x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=interstellar) [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $8.18 12.58 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $44.17 67.96 gems 0.48x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $8.18 12.58 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $19.31 29.7 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $21.00 32.31 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $92.00 142 gems $19.31 29.7 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $298 459 gems 3.24x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $8.18 12.58 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $21.00 32.31 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) Hidden $92.00 142 gems $21.00 32.31 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $92.00 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 46.2% Covert 0.3% classified 8.3% sunny 3.5% covert knife 0.8% gold 1.0% rare 10.0% Classified 10.0% Mythical 20.0% best hit $3,202 (34.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt