--- title: "Jingle Blades case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jingle Blades ($361.45) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.83% over 240 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Jingle Blades](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Jingle Blades A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=all) Price · $361.45 · 556 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $325.30 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.83% · 240 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 87.35% ±39.62 180 openings 30 days · 89.83% ±34.31 240 openings since tracking started · 89.83% ±34.31 240 openings -0.5% 130.3% 261.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=24h) | 7 | 59.42% ±200.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=7d) | 180 | 87.35% ±39.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades) | 240 | 89.83% ±34.3 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jingle-blades?window=all) | 240 | 89.83% ±34.3 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 240 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $7,443 11,450 gems | 22.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $5,741 8,832 gems | 17.6% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $2,203 3,390 gems | 13.5% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,394 2,145 gems | 8.6% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,008 1,550 gems | 6.2% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-vanilla-2) | 1 in 50 | $577 887 gems | 3.5% | 10 | 4.8 | 2.08× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 10.0% | $387 595 gems | 11.9% | 20 | 24.0 | 0.83× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $166 255 gems | 7.6% | 32 | 36.0 | 0.89× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-vanilla) | 15.0% | $68.42 105 gems | 3.2% | 27 | 36.0 | 0.75× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 50.0% | $32.02 49.26 gems | 4.9% | 130 | 120.0 | 1.08× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Sieras](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sieras) $361 556 gems $7,443 11,450 gems 20.59x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $361 556 gems $7,443 11,450 gems 20.59x 2026-11-05 06:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $361 556 gems $7,443 11,450 gems 20.59x 2026-11-03 22:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $361 556 gems $5,741 8,832 gems 15.88x 2026-11-03 22:44 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $361 556 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 6.10x 2026-11-06 01:21 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $361 556 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 6.10x 2026-11-05 23:47 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $361 556 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 6.10x 2026-11-05 06:35 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $361 556 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 6.10x 2026-11-05 06:07 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $361 556 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 6.10x 2026-11-05 06:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $361 556 gems $1,394 2,145 gems 3.86x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=jingle-blades) [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $361 556 gems $1,008 1,550 gems 2.79x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $361 556 gems $166 255 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $361 556 gems $32.02 49.26 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-vanilla) [farlopero peek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/farlopero%20peek) $361 556 gems $68.42 105 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $361 556 gems $32.02 49.26 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $361 556 gems $166 255 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) [Daxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daxo) $361 556 gems $32.02 49.26 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $361 556 gems $387 595 gems 1.07x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-vanilla) Hidden $361 556 gems $68.42 105 gems 0.19x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $361 556 gems $32.02 49.26 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $361 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.0% legendary 2.0% other 17.0% gold 50.0% best hit $7,443 (20.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt