--- title: "Jungle King case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jungle King ($54.63) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 97.26% over 1,857 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king rendered: 2026-11-11T17:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Jungle King](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Jungle King A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=all) Price · $54.63 · 84.04 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $49.16 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.26% · 1,857 openings, odds method Variance · 33.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 204 openings · below min 7 days · 101.25% ±28.39 1,603 openings 30 days · 97.26% ±26.38 1,857 openings since tracking started · 97.26% ±26.38 1,857 openings 25.0% 105.3% 185.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=24h) | 204 | 105.28% ±79.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=7d) | 1,603 | 101.25% ±28.4 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king) | 1,857 | 97.26% ±26.4 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/jungle-king?window=all) | 1,857 | 97.26% ±26.4 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,875 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $5,720 8,800 gems | 23.3% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.53× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $2,717 4,180 gems | 16.6% | 12 | 5.6 | 2.13× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,470 2,261 gems | 14.9% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $598 920 gems | 6.1% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $285 439 gems | 5.8% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.01× | | [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $199 307 gems | 8.1% | 39 | 37.5 | 1.04× | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $135 207 gems | 5.5% | 38 | 37.5 | 1.01× | | [MP7 \| Teal Blossom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $103 159 gems | 6.3% | 70 | 56.2 | 1.24× | | [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $64.99 99.99 gems | 6.6% | 97 | 93.7 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $43.43 66.82 gems | 4.4% | 106 | 93.7 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) | 40.5% | $2.28 3.5 gems | 1.9% | 733 | 759.4 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) | 40.0% | $0.64 0.98 gems | 0.5% | 745 | 750.0 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $5,720 8,800 gems 104.7x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $5,720 8,800 gems 104.7x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 22:18 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 20:13 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 17:50 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-09 03:37 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-07 22:26 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2,717 4,180 gems 49.74x 2026-11-07 22:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=jungle-king) [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [MP7 | Teal Blossom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $103 159 gems 1.89x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) [LiquidWater](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LiquidWater) $54.63 84.04 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.63 84.04 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $54.63 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.7% contraband 0.3% classified 0.5% restricted 4.0% Mil Spec Grade 3.0% Rare 5.0% industrial 5.0% violet 40.5% high 40.0% best hit $5,720 (104.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt