--- title: "kaarel1 % karambit case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "kaarel1 % karambit ($1.30) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 66.03% over 1,082 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit rendered: 2026-11-12T07:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [kaarel1 % karambit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · kaarel1 % karambit A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=all) Price · $1.30 · 2 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 66.03% · 1,082 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 316 openings · below min 30 days · 66.03% ±47.98 1,082 openings since tracking started · 66.03% ±47.98 1,082 openings -0.5% 105.3% 211.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=24h) | 16 | 2.50% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=7d) | 316 | 91.75% ±118.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit) | 1,082 | 66.03% ±48.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kaarel1-percent-karambit?window=all) | 1,082 | 66.03% ±48.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $226 348 gems 174.0x 2026-11-07 15:08 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $161 248 gems 124.2x 2026-11-05 00:44 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $125 192 gems 96.04x 2026-11-03 17:43 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $90.32 139 gems 69.48x 2026-11-05 22:33 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $90.32 139 gems 69.48x 2026-11-05 00:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=kaarel1-percent-karambit) [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit) Hidden $1.30 2 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $226 (174.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.03 on average: an expected loss of $33.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt