--- title: "Kamikaze case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kamikaze ($148.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 97.50% over 1,452 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Kamikaze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Kamikaze A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=all) Price · $148.82 · 229 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $133.93 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.50% · 1,452 openings, odds method Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 155 openings · below min 7 days · 98.53% ±23.67 1,244 openings 30 days · 97.50% ±21.91 1,452 openings since tracking started · 97.50% ±21.91 1,452 openings 27.0% 94.8% 162.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=24h) | 155 | 94.87% ±67.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=7d) | 1,244 | 98.53% ±23.7 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze) | 1,452 | 97.50% ±21.9 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kamikaze?window=all) | 1,452 | 97.50% ±21.9 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,484 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $8,239 12,675 gems | 12.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $6,497 9,996 gems | 14.6% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $3,722 5,726 gems | 13.9% | 11 | 7.4 | 1.48× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2,178 3,351 gems | 16.3% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,339 2,060 gems | 10.0% | 17 | 14.8 | 1.15× | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $911 1,402 gems | 6.8% | 18 | 14.8 | 1.21× | | [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 100 | $709 1,090 gems | 5.3% | 12 | 14.8 | 0.81× | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $545 839 gems | 4.1% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $475 731 gems | 3.5% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $422 649 gems | 3.1% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $364 560 gems | 2.7% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 100 | $337 518 gems | 2.5% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 30.0% | $16.81 25.86 gems | 3.8% | 404 | 445.2 | 0.91× | | [P250 \| Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) | 60.0% | $2.52 3.87 gems | 1.1% | 923 | 890.4 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $8,239 12,675 gems 55.36x 2026-11-09 15:29 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $8,239 12,675 gems 55.36x 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $8,239 12,675 gems 55.36x 2026-11-07 11:18 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $8,239 12,675 gems 55.36x 2026-11-04 23:05 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $6,497 9,996 gems 43.66x 2026-11-06 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $6,497 9,996 gems 43.66x 2026-11-05 18:03 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $6,497 9,996 gems 43.66x 2026-11-03 19:21 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $3,722 5,726 gems 25.01x 2026-11-11 02:54 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $3,722 5,726 gems 25.01x 2026-11-11 02:52 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $149 229 gems $3,722 5,726 gems 25.01x 2026-11-10 08:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=kamikaze) [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) [Moncler](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Moncler) $149 229 gems $16.81 25.86 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) Hidden $149 229 gems $337 518 gems 2.26x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [P250 | Mint Kimono (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $149 229 gems $2.52 3.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $149 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 1.5% legendary 0.5% contraband 1.0% covert 2.0% restricted 1.0% classified 3.0% sunny 1.0% mil spec 30.0% consumer 60.0% best hit $8,239 (55.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt