--- title: "Kato Archive case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Kato Archive ($533.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 58.87% over 224 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive rendered: 2026-11-11T20:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Kato Archive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Kato Archive A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=all) Price · $533.88 · 821 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $480.49 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 58.87% · 224 openings, odds method Variance · 29.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 89 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 164 openings · below min 30 days · 224 openings · below min since tracking started · 224 openings · below min -0.5% 74.0% 148.5% **Small sample.** 224 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=7d) | 164 | 64.91% ±82.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive) | 224 | 58.87% ±70.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kato-archive?window=all) | 224 | 58.87% ±70.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 232 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $48.5K 74,573 gems | 12.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $44.2K 68,000 gems | 11.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $42.2K 64,996 gems | 11.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $15.8K 24,294 gems | 4.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $14.6K 22,491 gems | 3.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $12.4K 19,109 gems | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $6,666 10,256 gems | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $4,572 7,034 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $3,250 5,000 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $2,785 4,284 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $2,694 4,145 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $2,649 4,076 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $2,542 3,911 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $1,873 2,882 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $1,602 2,465 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 800 | $665 1,023 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 98.0% | $226 348 gems | 46.1% | 227 | 227.4 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $534 821 gems $14.6K 22,491 gems 27.38x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $534 821 gems $2,542 3,911 gems 4.76x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $534 821 gems $1,873 2,882 gems 3.51x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $534 821 gems $1,873 2,882 gems 3.51x 2026-11-02 21:50 UTC [Sticker | compLexity Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $534 821 gems $1,602 2,465 gems 3.00x 2026-11-04 23:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=kato-archive) [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $534 821 gems $1,873 2,882 gems 3.51x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $534 821 gems $226 348 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $534 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 1.4% legendary 0.6% covert knife 98.0% best hit $14.6K (27.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt