--- title: "Killer Loadout case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Killer Loadout ($867.47) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 115.55% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Killer Loadout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Killer Loadout A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=all) Price · $867.47 · 1,335 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $780.72 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.55% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min 48.0% 115.8% 183.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=7d) | 4 | 115.55% ±67.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout) | 4 | 115.55% ±67.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout?window=all) | 4 | 115.55% ±67.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1,781 2,739 gems | 45.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,037 1,595 gems | 19.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $899 1,384 gems | 17.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $455 700 gems | 2.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $440 677 gems | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 10.0% | $410 631 gems | 5.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 10.0% | $224 345 gems | 2.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $185 284 gems | 2.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $75.76 117 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $867 1,335 gems $1,781 2,739 gems 2.05x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $867 1,335 gems $1,781 2,739 gems 2.05x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=killer-loadout) [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $867 1,335 gems $1,781 2,739 gems 2.05x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $867 1,335 gems $224 345 gems 0.26x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $867 1,335 gems $1,781 2,739 gems 2.05x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $867 1,335 gems $224 345 gems 0.26x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $867 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 20.0% Covert 15.0% restricted 15.0% covert 5.0% classified 15.0% rare 10.0% red 10.0% #eb4b4b 10.0% best hit $1,781 (2.05x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt