---
title: "Kilowatt Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Kilowatt Case ($2.28) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.90% from 30 items with odds, observed 97.17% over 6,568 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Kilowatt Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Kilowatt Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=all)

Price · $2.28 · 3.5 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.90% · EV $2.05 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.17% · 6,568 openings, odds method

Variance · 59.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 172 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 608 openings · below min

7 days · 95.99% ±20.98 5,204 openings

30 days · 97.17% ±18.68 6,568 openings

since tracking started · 97.17% ±18.68 6,568 openings

48.0% 110.0% 172.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=24h) | 608 | 109.80% ±61.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=7d) | 5,204 | 95.99% ±21.0 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case) | 6,568 | 97.17% ±18.7 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case?window=all) | 6,568 | 97.17% ±18.7 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,642 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $750 1,153 gems | 7.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $408 627 gems | 4.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $324 499 gems | 3.2% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.52× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $273 420 gems | 2.7% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.26× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $256 394 gems | 2.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $251 386 gems | 2.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| ★ (Vanilla) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-vanilla-2) | 1 in 5,000 | $230 354 gems | 2.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $185 285 gems | 1.8% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $182 280 gems | 1.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $175 269 gems | 1.7% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $170 262 gems | 1.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $159 245 gems | 1.6% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.01× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $144 222 gems | 1.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $107 164 gems | 16.7% | 21 | 21.3 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $77.06 119 gems | 12.1% | 25 | 21.3 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $14.42 22.18 gems | 7.5% | 76 | 70.8 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $11.31 17.4 gems | 5.9% | 56 | 70.8 | 0.79× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $9.75 15 gems | 5.1% | 60 | 70.8 | 0.85× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.57 2.42 gems | 2.5% | 229 | 212.3 | 1.08× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.48 2.27 gems | 2.3% | 188 | 212.3 | 0.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.48 2.27 gems | 2.3% | 231 | 212.3 | 1.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.42 2.19 gems | 2.2% | 263 | 212.3 | 1.24× |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.24 1.91 gems | 1.9% | 211 | 212.3 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.34 0.53 gems | 1.9% | 758 | 757.9 | 1.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dezastre (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dezastre-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 1.0% | 728 | 757.9 | 0.96× |
| [UMP-45 \| Motorized (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-motorized-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 1.0% | 723 | 757.9 | 0.95× |
| [Tec-9 \| Slag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 1.0% | 753 | 757.9 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.8% | 733 | 757.9 | 0.97× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.8% | 759 | 757.9 | 1.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-factory-new) | 11.5% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.7% | 807 | 761.3 | 1.06× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $750 1,153 gems 329.5x 2026-11-07 01:31 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $408 627 gems 179.3x 2026-11-08 05:54 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-11 07:07 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-08 00:33 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-06 16:49 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-04 21:03 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $324 499 gems 142.6x 2026-11-04 17:58 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $273 420 gems 120.0x 2026-11-06 16:51 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [smurf6](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/smurf6) $2.28 3.5 gems $273 420 gems 120.0x 2026-11-04 21:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=kilowatt-case)

[Tec-9 | Slag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[Tec-9 | Slag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dezastre-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-motorized-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[Tec-9 | Slag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-factory-new) [Kölsche](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/K%C3%B6lsche) $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dezastre-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC

[UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-motorized-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC

[Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) Hidden $2.28 3.5 gems $1.57 2.42 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.28 | 89.90% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.4% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.1% other 0.0% epic 0.0% Covert 0.0% red 0.3% pink 2.1% Classified 1.1% #8847ff 3.2% violet 6.4% restricted 6.4% Rare 22.8% blue 34.3% milspec 11.4% #4b69ff 11.4% best hit $750 (329.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt